[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 040038
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040038 
INZ000-ILZ000-040145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1868
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0738 PM CDT TUE AUG 03 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN IL AND NRN IND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 040038Z - 040145Z

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY WILL BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
NERN IL AND NRN IND BY 01Z.

BOW ECHO...CURRENTLY LOCATED IN ERN IA...IS MOVING EWD AT 50-60 MPH
AND CURRENT MOTION WOULD PLACE LINE EAST OF THE WW 698 BY 0130Z.
INSTABILITY IS NOT AS STRONG AS ACROSS IA...BUT MODERATE INSTABILITY
AND 30-40 KT SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO MAINTAIN SEVERE THREAT EAST OF
WW 698. INSTABILITY AXIS DOES EXTEND SEWD ACROSS NRN IL...SO BOW
ECHO MAY TURN MORE SEWD OR ESEWD AS IT MOVES INTO WRN IL.

..IMY.. 08/04/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...LOT...ILX...DVN...

40718956 42168954 42298872 41718669 41098530 39848601
39918748 

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