From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Sat Feb 4 08:54:07 2006 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (Severe weather warnings from NWS IWX.) Date: Sat, 04 Feb 2006 03:54:07 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] WSWIWX Message-ID: <20060204085430.E56F3D5635@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS43 KIWX 040853 WSWIWX URGENT - WINTER WX MESSAGE NWS N IN 353A SAT FEB 4 2006 MAJOR WINTER STRM WILL IMPACT MUCH OF THE REGION THIS WEEKEND A RPDLY INTENSIFYING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTH THROUGH E OH THISP TO JST WEST OF TORONTO CANADA BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. DEEP MOISTURE BEING DRAWN NORTH IN ADVANCE OF THE LOW WILL COMBINE WITH COLD AIR MVNG INTO THE REGION FROM THE NW TO PRDCE WIDESPREAD ACCUMULATING SNOWS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. AS THE LOW PRESSURE STRENGTHENS NW WINDS WILL INCRS LATE THISP AND THIS EVE. WINDS TONIGHT WILL BE SUSTAINED AT 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO ARND 35 MPH. THESE STRNG WINDS WILL PRDCE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TONIGHT. THE STEADY SNOW IS EXP TO TAPER OFF TO LIGHTER SNOW ON SUNDAY. ADDL ACCUMULATIONS ON SUNDAY ARE ONLY EXP TO BE MINOR BUT STRNG NW WINDS GUSTING TO 35 MPH WILL CNTINU TO PRDCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ON SUNDAY. INZ007-009-018-026-027-033-034-MIZ081-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016- 024-025-041700- /O.UPG.KIWX.WS.A.0002.060204T1500Z-060205T1100Z/ /O.NEW.KIWX.WS.W.0001.060204T1400Z-060205T1200Z/ STEUBEN-DE KALB-ALLEN IN-WELLS-ADAMS-BLACKFORD-JAY-HILLSDALE- WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT- ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF ANGOLA AUBURN GARRETT FORT WAYNE BLUFFTON OSSIAN DECATUR BERNE HARTFORD CITY MONTPELIER PORTLAND HILLSDALE BRYAN WAUSEON ARCHBOLD DEFIANCE NAPOLEON PAULDING ANTWERP OTTAWA PANDORA VAN WERT DELPHOS LIMA 353A SAT FEB 4 2006 WINTER STRM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9A THIS MORNING TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY THE NWS IN N IN HAS ISSUED A WINTER STRM WARNING WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9A THIS MORNING TO 7A SUNDAY. THIS REPLACES THE WINTER STRM WATCH WHICH WAS PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT. RAIN WILL DVLP ACRS E IN AND NW OH BEFORE DAWN THIS MORNING. THE RAIN WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SNOW THIS MORNING AND BECOME HVY AT TIMES. PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CNTINU OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. STRM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY SUNDAY MORNING ARE EXP TO RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES. NW WINDS WILL INCRS THIS EVE TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35. THESE STRNG WINDS WILL CREATE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TONIGHT ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. THE STEADY SNOW IS EXP TO TAPER OFF TO LIGHT SNOW SUNDAY MORNING WITH ONLY MINOR ADDL ACCUMULATIONS. STRNG NW WINDS WILL CNTINU TO GUST TO 35 MPH DURING THE DAY SUNDAY AND WILL CNTINU TO PRDCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. A WINTER STRM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXP. STRNG WINDS TONIGHT WILL PRDCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPSBL. $$ INZ005-006-008-016-017-024-025-032-MIZ079-080-041700- /O.NEW.KIWX.SB.Y.0002.060204T1400Z-060205T1200Z/ ELKHART-LAGRANGE-NOBLE-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-GRANT- ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF ELKHART GOSHEN LAGRANGE TOPEKA KENDALLVILLE LIGONIER WARSAW WINONA LK COLUMBIA CITY S WHITLEY WABASH NORTH MANCHESTER HUNTINGTON MARION STURGIS THREE RVRS COLDWATER 353A SAT FEB 4 2006 SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9A THIS MORNING TO 7A SUNDAY THE NWS IN N IN HAS ISSUED A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 7A SUNDAY. A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL DVLP BEFORE DAWN AND CHANGE TO ALL SNOW THIS MORNING. THE SNOW WILL CNTINU THROUGH THIS PM AND TONIGHT. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION BY SUNDAY MORNING IS EXP TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES. NW WINDS WILL INCRS THIS EVE TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35. THESE STRNG WINDS WILL CREATE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TONIGHT ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. THE STEADY SNOW IS EXP TO TAPER OFF TO LIGHT SNOW SUNDAY MORNING WITH ONLY MINOR ADDL ACCUMULATIONS. STRNG NW WINDS WILL CNTINU TO GUST TO 35 MPH DURING THE DAY SUNDAY AND WILL CNTINU TO PRDCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ INZ003-004-014-MIZ077-078-041700- /O.NEW.KIWX.SB.Y.0002.060204T1900Z-060205T1200Z/ LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-MARSHALL-BERRIEN-CASS MI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MI CITY LA PORTE S BEND MISHAWAKA PLYMOUTH BREMEN NILES BENTON HARBOR ST. JOSEPH BUCHANAN DOWAGIAC CASSOPOLIS 253A SAT FEB 4 2006 /353A SAT FEB 4 2006/ SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2P /1 PM CST/ THISP TO 7A /6A/ SUNDAY THE NWS IN N IN HAS ISSUED A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2P /1P/ THISP TO 7A /6A/ SUNDAY. MAINLY LIGHT SNOW IS EXP TO DVLP TODAY IN NW IN AND SW LWR MI. LATE THISP AND TONIGHT COLDER AIR WILL BEGIN TO CROSS LK MI AND PRDCE HEAVIER LK ENHANCED SNOW. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY SUNDAY MORNING ARE EXP TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES. NW WINDS WILL INCRS THIS EVE TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35. THESE STRNG WINDS WILL CREATE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TONIGHT ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. THE STEADY SNOW IS EXP TO TAPER OFF TO LIGHT SNOW SUNDAY MORNING WITH ONLY MINOR ADDL ACCUMULATIONS. STRNG NW WINDS WILL CNTINU TO GUST TO 35 MPH DURING THE DAY SUNDAY AND WILL CNTINU TO PRDCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ HITCHCOCK WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Sat Feb 4 17:08:08 2006 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (Severe weather warnings from NWS IWX.) Date: Sat, 04 Feb 2006 12:08:08 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] WSWIWX Message-ID: <20060204170830.E2B74D47F7@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS43 KIWX 041707 WSWIWX URGENT - WINTER WX MESSAGE UPDATED NWS N IN 1210P SAT FEB 4 2006 MAJOR WINTER STRM WILL IMPACT MUCH OF THE REGION TODAY INTO TONIGHT LOW PRESSURE OVER W WEST VA AND WILL MOVE TO JST WEST OF TORONTO CANADA BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND RPDLY INTENSIFY. ABUNDANT MOISTURE WRAPPING UP ARND THE LOW AND OFF LK MI IN TANDEM WITH DEEPENING COLD AIR WILL LEAD TO LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW EXPANDING WESTWARD INTO NW IN WITH HVY SNOW CONTINUING AT TIMES OVER EXTREME E IN AND NW OH. IN ADDITION NW WINDS WILL CNTINU TO INTENSIFY LATE THIS PM AND TONIGHT WITH SUSTAINED NW WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS EXP. THIS WILL LEAD TO CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. THE STEADY SNOW IS EXP TO TAPER OFF ON SUNDAY WITH ADDL LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS BUT STRNG NW WINDS GUSTING TO 35 MPH WILL CNTINU TO PRDCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. INZ007-009-018-026-027-033-034-MIZ081-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016- 024-025-050100- /O.CON.KIWX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-060205T1200Z/ STEUBEN-DE KALB-ALLEN IN-WELLS-ADAMS-BLACKFORD-JAY-HILLSDALE- WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT- ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF ANGOLA AUBURN GARRETT FORT WAYNE BLUFFTON OSSIAN DECATUR BERNE HARTFORD CITY MONTPELIER PORTLAND HILLSDALE BRYAN WAUSEON ARCHBOLD DEFIANCE NAPOLEON PAULDING ANTWERP OTTAWA PANDORA VAN WERT DELPHOS LIMA 1210P SAT FEB 4 2006 WINTER STRM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTL 7A SUNDAY A WINTER STRM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTL 7A SUNDAY. SNOW WILL CNTINU THISP AND INTO TONIGHT AND MAY BE HVY AT TIMES. STRM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY SUNDAY MORNING ARE EXP TO RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES. NW WINDS WILL INCRS THIS EVE TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35. THESE STRNG WINDS WILL CREATE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TONIGHT ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. A WINTER STRM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXP. STRNG WINDS TONIGHT WILL PRDCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPSBL. $$ INZ005-006-008-016-017-024-025-032-MIZ079-080-050100- /O.CON.KIWX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T1200Z/ ELKHART-LAGRANGE-NOBLE-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-GRANT- ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF ELKHART GOSHEN LAGRANGE TOPEKA KENDALLVILLE LIGONIER WARSAW WINONA LK COLUMBIA CITY S WHITLEY WABASH NORTH MANCHESTER HUNTINGTON MARION STURGIS THREE RVRS COLDWATER 1210P SAT FEB 4 2006 SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTL 7 AM EST SUNDAY A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTL 7A SUNDAY. LIGHT TO AT TIMES MODERATE SNOW WILL CNTINU THROUGH THIS PM AND TONIGHT. STRM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION BY SUNDAY MORNING ARE EXP TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES. NW WINDS WILL INCRS THIS EVE TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35. THESE STRNG WINDS WILL CREATE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TONIGHT ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ INZ003-004-014-MIZ077-078-050100- /O.CON.KIWX.SB.Y.0002.060204T1900Z-060205T1200Z/ LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-MARSHALL-BERRIEN-CASS MI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MI CITY LA PORTE S BEND MISHAWAKA PLYMOUTH BREMEN NILES BENTON HARBOR ST. JOSEPH BUCHANAN DOWAGIAC CASSOPOLIS 1110A SAT FEB 4 2006 /1210P SAT FEB 4 2006/ SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTL 7 AM EST /6A/ SUNDAY A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTL 7A /6A/ SUNDAY. LIGHT SNOW WILL DVLP THISP IN NW IN AND SW LWR MI AS COLDER AIR BEGINS TO CROSS LK MI AND PRDCE LK ENHANCED SNOW. STRM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY SUNDAY MORNING ARE EXP TO RANGE FROM 3 TO LOCALLY AS HIGH AS 6 INCHES. NW WINDS WILL INCRS THIS EVE TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35. THESE STRNG WINDS WILL CREATE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TONIGHT ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Sun Feb 5 00:34:26 2006 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (Severe weather warnings from NWS IWX.) Date: Sat, 04 Feb 2006 19:34:26 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] WSWIWX Message-ID: <20060205003447.E3AA0D47EE@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS43 KIWX 050034 WSWIWX URGENT - WINTER WX MESSAGE NWS N IN 734P SAT FEB 4 2006 INZ009-018-026-027-033-034-OHZ015-016-024-025-050845- /O.CAN.KIWX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-060205T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KIWX.SN.Y.0002.060205T0034Z-060205T1200Z/ DE KALB-ALLEN IN-WELLS-ADAMS-BLACKFORD-JAY-PAULDING-PUTNAM- VAN WERT-ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AUBURN GARRETT FORT WAYNE BLUFFTON OSSIAN DECATUR BERNE HARTFORD CITY MONTPELIER PORTLAND PAULDING ANTWERP OTTAWA PANDORA VAN WERT DELPHOS LIMA 734P SAT FEB 4 2006 WINTER STRM WARNING IS CANCELLED SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTL 7A SUNDAY THE NWS IN N IN HAS ISSUED A SNOW ADVISORY WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTL 7A SUNDAY. THE WINTER STRM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. SNOW WILL CNTINU TONIGHT. HOWEVER RELATIVELY WARM GROUND TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE SOME OF THE SNOW TO MELT AND HELP TO LIMIT THE ACCUMULATION AND BLOWING SNOW. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY SUNDAY MORNING ARE EXP TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ INZ007-MIZ081-OHZ001-002-004-005-050845- /O.CAN.KIWX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-060205T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KIWX.SN.Y.0002.060205T0034Z-060205T1200Z/ STEUBEN-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF ANGOLA HILLSDALE BRYAN MONTPELIER WAUSEON ARCHBOLD DEFIANCE NAPOLEON 734P SAT FEB 4 2006 WINTER STRM WARNING IS CANCELLED SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTL 7A SUNDAY THE NWS IN N IN HAS ISSUED A SNOW ADVISORY WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTL 7A SUNDAY. THE WINTER STRM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. SNOW WILL CNTINU TONIGHT. HOWEVER RELATIVELY WARM GROUND TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE SOME OF THE SNOW TO MELT AND HELP TO LIMIT THE ACCUMULATION AND BLOWING SNOW. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY SUNDAY MORNING ARE EXP TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ INZ003>006-008-014-016-017-024-025-032-MIZ077>080-050145- /O.CAN.KIWX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T1200Z/ LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-NOBLE-MARSHALL-KOSCIUSKO- WHITLEY-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-GRANT-BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI- BRANCH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MI CITY LA PORTE S BEND MISHAWAKA ELKHART GOSHEN LAGRANGE TOPEKA KENDALLVILLE LIGONIER PLYMOUTH BREMEN WARSAW WINONA LK COLUMBIA CITY S WHITLEY WABASH NORTH MANCHESTER HUNTINGTON MARION NILES BENTON HARBOR ST. JOSEPH BUCHANAN DOWAGIAC CASSOPOLIS STURGIS THREE RVRS COLDWATER 634P SAT FEB 4 2006 /734P SAT FEB 4 2006/ SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED THE NWS IN N IN HAS CANCELLED THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY. SNOW WILL CNTINU OVERNIGHT HOWEVER ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. THE RELATIVELY WARM GROUND WILL CAUSE SOME SNOW TO MELT AND LIMIT THE PTNTL FOR BLOWING SNOW. $$ WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Thu Feb 16 19:17:41 2006 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (Severe weather warnings from NWS IWX.) Date: Thu, 16 Feb 2006 14:17:41 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL3 Message-ID: <20060216191741.4B0A9D47DA@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 161916 SEL3 SPC WW 161916 ILZ000-INZ000-MOZ000-170200- TRNDO WTCH 33 NWS SPC 115P THU FEB 16 2006 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A TRNDO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF S AND C IL PART OF NW IN S AND E MO EFFCTVE THIS THURSDAYP AND EVE FROM 115P UNTL 800P. TRNDOES HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE TRNDO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE MI NORTH AND S OF A LN FROM 35 MI NE OF DANVILLE IL TO 30 MI WEST NW OF FLIPPIN AR. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). REMEMBER A TRNDO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TRNDOES AND SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. DISCUSSION VERY STRNG SHEAR PROFILES ACRS AREA AHEAD OF VIGOROUS S/WV TROUGH. SFCNT INSTABILITY IN ADVANCE OF COLD FRONT MVNG ACRS NRN IL INTO SWRN MO TO SUPPORT SUPERCELLS AS STRMS DVLP ALONG AND AHEAD OF FRONT. IN ADDITION TO INCREASING DMGG WIND THREAT AS STRMS EVOLVE INTO BOWS AND SHORT LNS TRNDOES WILL BE PSBL. AVIATION TRNDOES AND A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 24045. HALES WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Thu Feb 16 21:57:47 2006 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (Severe weather warnings from NWS IWX.) Date: Thu, 16 Feb 2006 16:57:47 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL5 Message-ID: <20060216215748.182D7D4A5A@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 162156 SEL5 SPC WW 162156 INZ000-MIZ000-LMZ000-170400- TRNDO WTCH 35 NWS SPC 355P THU FEB 16 2006 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A TRNDO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF MUCH OF IN SW LWR MI LK MI EFFCTVE THIS THURSDAYP AND EVE FROM 355P UNTL 1000P. TRNDOES HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE TRNDO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE MI E AND WEST OF A LN FROM 25 MI NORTH NE OF KALAMAZOO MI TO 45 MI S SW OF BLOOMINGTON IN. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). REMEMBER A TRNDO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TRNDOES AND SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION CNTINU WW 33 WW 34 DISCUSSION VERY STRNG DEEP LAYER SHEAR AHEAD OF COLD FRONT AND DEEPENING SURFACE LOW NOW LOCATED NERN IL PROVIDING SUPPORT FOR SVR STRMS NOW ACRS C IL TO MOVE RPDLY NEWD. ADEQUATE MOISTURE/INSTABILITY FOR LNS/BOWS PRDCNG DMGG WINDS. ISOLATED TRNDOES ALSO PSBL GIVEN THE IMPRESSIVE SHEAR. AVIATION TRNDOES AND A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 24045. HALES WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Thu Feb 16 22:30:21 2006 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (Severe weather warnings from NWS IWX.) Date: Thu, 16 Feb 2006 17:30:21 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <20060216223022.70101D4BF7@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - LA PORTE CNTY IN IN UNTL 515P : AT 422P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG DMGG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED 11 MI WEST OF WESTVILLE OR ABT OVER S HAVEN AND MVNG NE AT 60 . From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Thu Feb 16 23:14:22 2006 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (Severe weather warnings from NWS IWX.) Date: Thu, 16 Feb 2006 18:14:22 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL6 Message-ID: <20060216231421.638DFD47DA@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 162313 SEL6 SPC WW 162313 ARZ000-ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-170700- TRNDO WTCH 36 NWS SPC 515P THU FEB 16 2006 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A TRNDO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NE AR EXTREME SE IL EXTREME S IN W KY THE MO BOOTHEEL EXTREME NW MS NW TN EFFCTVE THIS THURSDAYP AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 515 PM UNTL 100A. TRNDOES HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE TRNDO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE MI E AND WEST OF A LN FROM 15 MI E SE OF PINE BLUFF AR TO 45 MI NE OF EVANSVILLE IN. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). REMEMBER A TRNDO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TRNDOES AND SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION CNTINU WW 33 WW 34 WW 35 DISCUSSION BROKEN LN OF SVR STRMS WILL CNTINU EWD IN ASSOCIATION WITH A STRNG COLD FRONT. THOUGH INSTABILITY IS SOMEWHAT MARGINAL E OF THE ONGOING STRMS VERTICAL SHEAR IS QUITE STRNG AND FAVORABLE FOR THE MAINTENANCE OF A FEW DISCRETE SUPERCELLS WITHIN THE LRGR LN OF STRMS. GIVEN THE DEGREE OF LOW-LEVEL SHEAR A COUPLE OF TRNDOES WILL BE PSBL WITH THE MORE INTENSE STRMS. OTHERWISE LRG HAIL AND DMGG WINDS CAN BE EXP TO CNTINU INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. AVIATION TRNDOES AND A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 27035. THOMPSON WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Thu Feb 16 23:23:38 2006 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (Severe weather warnings from NWS IWX.) Date: Thu, 16 Feb 2006 18:23:38 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <20060216232338.0AA34D47DA@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - NW ELKHART CNTY IN IN CASS CNTY IN MI UNTL 715P : AT 618P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND DMGG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED 10 MI SW OF EDWARDSBURG OR ABT OVER GEORGETOWN AND MVNG NE AT 65. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Thu Feb 16 23:42:21 2006 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (Severe weather warnings from NWS IWX.) Date: Thu, 16 Feb 2006 18:42:21 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <20060216234221.DF959D47DA@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - ST. JOSEPH CNTY IN MI UNTL 715P : AT 639P NWS 88D INDCTD A LN OF SVR STRMS CAPBL OF PRDCNG NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND DMGG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60. THESE SVR STRMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LN EXTENDING FROM 11 MI NORTH OF THREE RVRS TO 5 MI NW OF THREE RVRS TO 7 MI WEST OF CONSTANTINE AND MVNG E AT 55. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Sat Feb 4 08:54:07 2006 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (Severe weather warnings from NWS IWX.) Date: Sat, 04 Feb 2006 03:54:07 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] WSWIWX Message-ID: <20060204085430.E56F3D5635@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS43 KIWX 040853 WSWIWX URGENT - WINTER WX MESSAGE NWS N IN 353A SAT FEB 4 2006 MAJOR WINTER STRM WILL IMPACT MUCH OF THE REGION THIS WEEKEND A RPDLY INTENSIFYING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTH THROUGH E OH THISP TO JST WEST OF TORONTO CANADA BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. DEEP MOISTURE BEING DRAWN NORTH IN ADVANCE OF THE LOW WILL COMBINE WITH COLD AIR MVNG INTO THE REGION FROM THE NW TO PRDCE WIDESPREAD ACCUMULATING SNOWS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. AS THE LOW PRESSURE STRENGTHENS NW WINDS WILL INCRS LATE THISP AND THIS EVE. WINDS TONIGHT WILL BE SUSTAINED AT 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO ARND 35 MPH. THESE STRNG WINDS WILL PRDCE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TONIGHT. THE STEADY SNOW IS EXP TO TAPER OFF TO LIGHTER SNOW ON SUNDAY. ADDL ACCUMULATIONS ON SUNDAY ARE ONLY EXP TO BE MINOR BUT STRNG NW WINDS GUSTING TO 35 MPH WILL CNTINU TO PRDCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ON SUNDAY. INZ007-009-018-026-027-033-034-MIZ081-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016- 024-025-041700- /O.UPG.KIWX.WS.A.0002.060204T1500Z-060205T1100Z/ /O.NEW.KIWX.WS.W.0001.060204T1400Z-060205T1200Z/ STEUBEN-DE KALB-ALLEN IN-WELLS-ADAMS-BLACKFORD-JAY-HILLSDALE- WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT- ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF ANGOLA AUBURN GARRETT FORT WAYNE BLUFFTON OSSIAN DECATUR BERNE HARTFORD CITY MONTPELIER PORTLAND HILLSDALE BRYAN WAUSEON ARCHBOLD DEFIANCE NAPOLEON PAULDING ANTWERP OTTAWA PANDORA VAN WERT DELPHOS LIMA 353A SAT FEB 4 2006 WINTER STRM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9A THIS MORNING TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY THE NWS IN N IN HAS ISSUED A WINTER STRM WARNING WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9A THIS MORNING TO 7A SUNDAY. THIS REPLACES THE WINTER STRM WATCH WHICH WAS PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT. RAIN WILL DVLP ACRS E IN AND NW OH BEFORE DAWN THIS MORNING. THE RAIN WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SNOW THIS MORNING AND BECOME HVY AT TIMES. PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CNTINU OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. STRM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY SUNDAY MORNING ARE EXP TO RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES. NW WINDS WILL INCRS THIS EVE TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35. THESE STRNG WINDS WILL CREATE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TONIGHT ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. THE STEADY SNOW IS EXP TO TAPER OFF TO LIGHT SNOW SUNDAY MORNING WITH ONLY MINOR ADDL ACCUMULATIONS. STRNG NW WINDS WILL CNTINU TO GUST TO 35 MPH DURING THE DAY SUNDAY AND WILL CNTINU TO PRDCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. A WINTER STRM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXP. STRNG WINDS TONIGHT WILL PRDCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPSBL. $$ INZ005-006-008-016-017-024-025-032-MIZ079-080-041700- /O.NEW.KIWX.SB.Y.0002.060204T1400Z-060205T1200Z/ ELKHART-LAGRANGE-NOBLE-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-GRANT- ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF ELKHART GOSHEN LAGRANGE TOPEKA KENDALLVILLE LIGONIER WARSAW WINONA LK COLUMBIA CITY S WHITLEY WABASH NORTH MANCHESTER HUNTINGTON MARION STURGIS THREE RVRS COLDWATER 353A SAT FEB 4 2006 SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9A THIS MORNING TO 7A SUNDAY THE NWS IN N IN HAS ISSUED A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 7A SUNDAY. A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL DVLP BEFORE DAWN AND CHANGE TO ALL SNOW THIS MORNING. THE SNOW WILL CNTINU THROUGH THIS PM AND TONIGHT. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION BY SUNDAY MORNING IS EXP TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES. NW WINDS WILL INCRS THIS EVE TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35. THESE STRNG WINDS WILL CREATE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TONIGHT ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. THE STEADY SNOW IS EXP TO TAPER OFF TO LIGHT SNOW SUNDAY MORNING WITH ONLY MINOR ADDL ACCUMULATIONS. STRNG NW WINDS WILL CNTINU TO GUST TO 35 MPH DURING THE DAY SUNDAY AND WILL CNTINU TO PRDCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ INZ003-004-014-MIZ077-078-041700- /O.NEW.KIWX.SB.Y.0002.060204T1900Z-060205T1200Z/ LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-MARSHALL-BERRIEN-CASS MI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MI CITY LA PORTE S BEND MISHAWAKA PLYMOUTH BREMEN NILES BENTON HARBOR ST. JOSEPH BUCHANAN DOWAGIAC CASSOPOLIS 253A SAT FEB 4 2006 /353A SAT FEB 4 2006/ SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2P /1 PM CST/ THISP TO 7A /6A/ SUNDAY THE NWS IN N IN HAS ISSUED A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2P /1P/ THISP TO 7A /6A/ SUNDAY. MAINLY LIGHT SNOW IS EXP TO DVLP TODAY IN NW IN AND SW LWR MI. LATE THISP AND TONIGHT COLDER AIR WILL BEGIN TO CROSS LK MI AND PRDCE HEAVIER LK ENHANCED SNOW. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY SUNDAY MORNING ARE EXP TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES. NW WINDS WILL INCRS THIS EVE TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35. THESE STRNG WINDS WILL CREATE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TONIGHT ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. THE STEADY SNOW IS EXP TO TAPER OFF TO LIGHT SNOW SUNDAY MORNING WITH ONLY MINOR ADDL ACCUMULATIONS. STRNG NW WINDS WILL CNTINU TO GUST TO 35 MPH DURING THE DAY SUNDAY AND WILL CNTINU TO PRDCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ HITCHCOCK WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Sat Feb 4 17:08:08 2006 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (Severe weather warnings from NWS IWX.) Date: Sat, 04 Feb 2006 12:08:08 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] WSWIWX Message-ID: <20060204170830.E2B74D47F7@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS43 KIWX 041707 WSWIWX URGENT - WINTER WX MESSAGE UPDATED NWS N IN 1210P SAT FEB 4 2006 MAJOR WINTER STRM WILL IMPACT MUCH OF THE REGION TODAY INTO TONIGHT LOW PRESSURE OVER W WEST VA AND WILL MOVE TO JST WEST OF TORONTO CANADA BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND RPDLY INTENSIFY. ABUNDANT MOISTURE WRAPPING UP ARND THE LOW AND OFF LK MI IN TANDEM WITH DEEPENING COLD AIR WILL LEAD TO LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW EXPANDING WESTWARD INTO NW IN WITH HVY SNOW CONTINUING AT TIMES OVER EXTREME E IN AND NW OH. IN ADDITION NW WINDS WILL CNTINU TO INTENSIFY LATE THIS PM AND TONIGHT WITH SUSTAINED NW WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS EXP. THIS WILL LEAD TO CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. THE STEADY SNOW IS EXP TO TAPER OFF ON SUNDAY WITH ADDL LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS BUT STRNG NW WINDS GUSTING TO 35 MPH WILL CNTINU TO PRDCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. INZ007-009-018-026-027-033-034-MIZ081-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016- 024-025-050100- /O.CON.KIWX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-060205T1200Z/ STEUBEN-DE KALB-ALLEN IN-WELLS-ADAMS-BLACKFORD-JAY-HILLSDALE- WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT- ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF ANGOLA AUBURN GARRETT FORT WAYNE BLUFFTON OSSIAN DECATUR BERNE HARTFORD CITY MONTPELIER PORTLAND HILLSDALE BRYAN WAUSEON ARCHBOLD DEFIANCE NAPOLEON PAULDING ANTWERP OTTAWA PANDORA VAN WERT DELPHOS LIMA 1210P SAT FEB 4 2006 WINTER STRM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTL 7A SUNDAY A WINTER STRM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTL 7A SUNDAY. SNOW WILL CNTINU THISP AND INTO TONIGHT AND MAY BE HVY AT TIMES. STRM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY SUNDAY MORNING ARE EXP TO RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES. NW WINDS WILL INCRS THIS EVE TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35. THESE STRNG WINDS WILL CREATE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TONIGHT ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. A WINTER STRM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXP. STRNG WINDS TONIGHT WILL PRDCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPSBL. $$ INZ005-006-008-016-017-024-025-032-MIZ079-080-050100- /O.CON.KIWX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T1200Z/ ELKHART-LAGRANGE-NOBLE-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-GRANT- ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF ELKHART GOSHEN LAGRANGE TOPEKA KENDALLVILLE LIGONIER WARSAW WINONA LK COLUMBIA CITY S WHITLEY WABASH NORTH MANCHESTER HUNTINGTON MARION STURGIS THREE RVRS COLDWATER 1210P SAT FEB 4 2006 SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTL 7 AM EST SUNDAY A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTL 7A SUNDAY. LIGHT TO AT TIMES MODERATE SNOW WILL CNTINU THROUGH THIS PM AND TONIGHT. STRM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION BY SUNDAY MORNING ARE EXP TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES. NW WINDS WILL INCRS THIS EVE TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35. THESE STRNG WINDS WILL CREATE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TONIGHT ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ INZ003-004-014-MIZ077-078-050100- /O.CON.KIWX.SB.Y.0002.060204T1900Z-060205T1200Z/ LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-MARSHALL-BERRIEN-CASS MI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MI CITY LA PORTE S BEND MISHAWAKA PLYMOUTH BREMEN NILES BENTON HARBOR ST. JOSEPH BUCHANAN DOWAGIAC CASSOPOLIS 1110A SAT FEB 4 2006 /1210P SAT FEB 4 2006/ SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTL 7 AM EST /6A/ SUNDAY A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTL 7A /6A/ SUNDAY. LIGHT SNOW WILL DVLP THISP IN NW IN AND SW LWR MI AS COLDER AIR BEGINS TO CROSS LK MI AND PRDCE LK ENHANCED SNOW. STRM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY SUNDAY MORNING ARE EXP TO RANGE FROM 3 TO LOCALLY AS HIGH AS 6 INCHES. NW WINDS WILL INCRS THIS EVE TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35. THESE STRNG WINDS WILL CREATE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TONIGHT ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Sun Feb 5 00:34:26 2006 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (Severe weather warnings from NWS IWX.) Date: Sat, 04 Feb 2006 19:34:26 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] WSWIWX Message-ID: <20060205003447.E3AA0D47EE@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS43 KIWX 050034 WSWIWX URGENT - WINTER WX MESSAGE NWS N IN 734P SAT FEB 4 2006 INZ009-018-026-027-033-034-OHZ015-016-024-025-050845- /O.CAN.KIWX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-060205T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KIWX.SN.Y.0002.060205T0034Z-060205T1200Z/ DE KALB-ALLEN IN-WELLS-ADAMS-BLACKFORD-JAY-PAULDING-PUTNAM- VAN WERT-ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AUBURN GARRETT FORT WAYNE BLUFFTON OSSIAN DECATUR BERNE HARTFORD CITY MONTPELIER PORTLAND PAULDING ANTWERP OTTAWA PANDORA VAN WERT DELPHOS LIMA 734P SAT FEB 4 2006 WINTER STRM WARNING IS CANCELLED SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTL 7A SUNDAY THE NWS IN N IN HAS ISSUED A SNOW ADVISORY WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTL 7A SUNDAY. THE WINTER STRM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. SNOW WILL CNTINU TONIGHT. HOWEVER RELATIVELY WARM GROUND TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE SOME OF THE SNOW TO MELT AND HELP TO LIMIT THE ACCUMULATION AND BLOWING SNOW. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY SUNDAY MORNING ARE EXP TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ INZ007-MIZ081-OHZ001-002-004-005-050845- /O.CAN.KIWX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-060205T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KIWX.SN.Y.0002.060205T0034Z-060205T1200Z/ STEUBEN-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF ANGOLA HILLSDALE BRYAN MONTPELIER WAUSEON ARCHBOLD DEFIANCE NAPOLEON 734P SAT FEB 4 2006 WINTER STRM WARNING IS CANCELLED SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTL 7A SUNDAY THE NWS IN N IN HAS ISSUED A SNOW ADVISORY WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTL 7A SUNDAY. THE WINTER STRM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. SNOW WILL CNTINU TONIGHT. HOWEVER RELATIVELY WARM GROUND TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE SOME OF THE SNOW TO MELT AND HELP TO LIMIT THE ACCUMULATION AND BLOWING SNOW. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY SUNDAY MORNING ARE EXP TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ INZ003>006-008-014-016-017-024-025-032-MIZ077>080-050145- /O.CAN.KIWX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T1200Z/ LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-NOBLE-MARSHALL-KOSCIUSKO- WHITLEY-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-GRANT-BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI- BRANCH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MI CITY LA PORTE S BEND MISHAWAKA ELKHART GOSHEN LAGRANGE TOPEKA KENDALLVILLE LIGONIER PLYMOUTH BREMEN WARSAW WINONA LK COLUMBIA CITY S WHITLEY WABASH NORTH MANCHESTER HUNTINGTON MARION NILES BENTON HARBOR ST. JOSEPH BUCHANAN DOWAGIAC CASSOPOLIS STURGIS THREE RVRS COLDWATER 634P SAT FEB 4 2006 /734P SAT FEB 4 2006/ SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED THE NWS IN N IN HAS CANCELLED THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY. SNOW WILL CNTINU OVERNIGHT HOWEVER ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. THE RELATIVELY WARM GROUND WILL CAUSE SOME SNOW TO MELT AND LIMIT THE PTNTL FOR BLOWING SNOW. $$ WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Thu Feb 16 19:17:41 2006 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (Severe weather warnings from NWS IWX.) Date: Thu, 16 Feb 2006 14:17:41 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL3 Message-ID: <20060216191741.4B0A9D47DA@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 161916 SEL3 SPC WW 161916 ILZ000-INZ000-MOZ000-170200- TRNDO WTCH 33 NWS SPC 115P THU FEB 16 2006 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A TRNDO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF S AND C IL PART OF NW IN S AND E MO EFFCTVE THIS THURSDAYP AND EVE FROM 115P UNTL 800P. TRNDOES HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE TRNDO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE MI NORTH AND S OF A LN FROM 35 MI NE OF DANVILLE IL TO 30 MI WEST NW OF FLIPPIN AR. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). REMEMBER A TRNDO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TRNDOES AND SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. DISCUSSION VERY STRNG SHEAR PROFILES ACRS AREA AHEAD OF VIGOROUS S/WV TROUGH. SFCNT INSTABILITY IN ADVANCE OF COLD FRONT MVNG ACRS NRN IL INTO SWRN MO TO SUPPORT SUPERCELLS AS STRMS DVLP ALONG AND AHEAD OF FRONT. IN ADDITION TO INCREASING DMGG WIND THREAT AS STRMS EVOLVE INTO BOWS AND SHORT LNS TRNDOES WILL BE PSBL. AVIATION TRNDOES AND A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 24045. HALES WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Thu Feb 16 21:57:47 2006 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (Severe weather warnings from NWS IWX.) Date: Thu, 16 Feb 2006 16:57:47 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL5 Message-ID: <20060216215748.182D7D4A5A@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 162156 SEL5 SPC WW 162156 INZ000-MIZ000-LMZ000-170400- TRNDO WTCH 35 NWS SPC 355P THU FEB 16 2006 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A TRNDO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF MUCH OF IN SW LWR MI LK MI EFFCTVE THIS THURSDAYP AND EVE FROM 355P UNTL 1000P. TRNDOES HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE TRNDO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE MI E AND WEST OF A LN FROM 25 MI NORTH NE OF KALAMAZOO MI TO 45 MI S SW OF BLOOMINGTON IN. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). REMEMBER A TRNDO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TRNDOES AND SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION CNTINU WW 33 WW 34 DISCUSSION VERY STRNG DEEP LAYER SHEAR AHEAD OF COLD FRONT AND DEEPENING SURFACE LOW NOW LOCATED NERN IL PROVIDING SUPPORT FOR SVR STRMS NOW ACRS C IL TO MOVE RPDLY NEWD. ADEQUATE MOISTURE/INSTABILITY FOR LNS/BOWS PRDCNG DMGG WINDS. ISOLATED TRNDOES ALSO PSBL GIVEN THE IMPRESSIVE SHEAR. AVIATION TRNDOES AND A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 24045. HALES WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Thu Feb 16 22:30:21 2006 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (Severe weather warnings from NWS IWX.) Date: Thu, 16 Feb 2006 17:30:21 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <20060216223022.70101D4BF7@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - LA PORTE CNTY IN IN UNTL 515P : AT 422P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG DMGG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED 11 MI WEST OF WESTVILLE OR ABT OVER S HAVEN AND MVNG NE AT 60 . From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Thu Feb 16 23:14:22 2006 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (Severe weather warnings from NWS IWX.) Date: Thu, 16 Feb 2006 18:14:22 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL6 Message-ID: <20060216231421.638DFD47DA@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 162313 SEL6 SPC WW 162313 ARZ000-ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-170700- TRNDO WTCH 36 NWS SPC 515P THU FEB 16 2006 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A TRNDO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NE AR EXTREME SE IL EXTREME S IN W KY THE MO BOOTHEEL EXTREME NW MS NW TN EFFCTVE THIS THURSDAYP AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 515 PM UNTL 100A. TRNDOES HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE TRNDO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE MI E AND WEST OF A LN FROM 15 MI E SE OF PINE BLUFF AR TO 45 MI NE OF EVANSVILLE IN. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). REMEMBER A TRNDO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TRNDOES AND SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION CNTINU WW 33 WW 34 WW 35 DISCUSSION BROKEN LN OF SVR STRMS WILL CNTINU EWD IN ASSOCIATION WITH A STRNG COLD FRONT. THOUGH INSTABILITY IS SOMEWHAT MARGINAL E OF THE ONGOING STRMS VERTICAL SHEAR IS QUITE STRNG AND FAVORABLE FOR THE MAINTENANCE OF A FEW DISCRETE SUPERCELLS WITHIN THE LRGR LN OF STRMS. GIVEN THE DEGREE OF LOW-LEVEL SHEAR A COUPLE OF TRNDOES WILL BE PSBL WITH THE MORE INTENSE STRMS. OTHERWISE LRG HAIL AND DMGG WINDS CAN BE EXP TO CNTINU INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. AVIATION TRNDOES AND A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 27035. THOMPSON WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Thu Feb 16 23:23:38 2006 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (Severe weather warnings from NWS IWX.) Date: Thu, 16 Feb 2006 18:23:38 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <20060216232338.0AA34D47DA@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - NW ELKHART CNTY IN IN CASS CNTY IN MI UNTL 715P : AT 618P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND DMGG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED 10 MI SW OF EDWARDSBURG OR ABT OVER GEORGETOWN AND MVNG NE AT 65. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Thu Feb 16 23:42:21 2006 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (Severe weather warnings from NWS IWX.) Date: Thu, 16 Feb 2006 18:42:21 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <20060216234221.DF959D47DA@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - ST. JOSEPH CNTY IN MI UNTL 715P : AT 639P NWS 88D INDCTD A LN OF SVR STRMS CAPBL OF PRDCNG NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND DMGG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60. THESE SVR STRMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LN EXTENDING FROM 11 MI NORTH OF THREE RVRS TO 5 MI NW OF THREE RVRS TO 7 MI WEST OF CONSTANTINE AND MVNG E AT 55.