From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Mon May 9 17:37:16 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Mon, 09 May 2005 12:37:16 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL9 Message-ID: <200505091747.j49Hl2WS004391@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 091746 SEL9 SPC WW 091746 ILZ000-INZ000-WIZ000-LMZ000-100100- SVR STRM WTCH 239 NWS SPC 1245P MON MAY 9 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF N IL LK CNTY IN S AND C WI LK MI EFFCTVE THIS MONDAYP AND EVE FROM 1245P UNTL 800 PM. HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE MI E AND WEST OF A LN FROM 20 MI SE OF MARSEILLES IL TO 30 MI NORTH OF WAUSAU WI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. DISCUSSION STRMS ARE EXP TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD ACRS WI AND NRN IL THISP AHEAD OF APPROACHING MID LEVEL TROUGH. AREA REMAINS RELATIVELY MOIST ANDP HEATING WILL LIKELY SUPPORT MODERATE INSTABILITY INTO C/NRN WI. PRIMARY SVR THREATS WILL BE LRG HAIL AND DMGG WINDS AS STRMS INTENSIFY AND MOVE QUICKLY NNEWD INTO THE EARLY EVE. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 22035. EVANS ;410,0893 452,0905 452,0882 410,0871; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Mon May 9 22:55:18 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Mon, 09 May 2005 17:55:18 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL9 Message-ID: <200505092305.j49N53Pl015117@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 092303 SEL9 SPC WW 092303 ILZ000-INZ000-WIZ000-LMZ000-100100- SVR STRM WTCH 239 NWS SPC 0603P MON MAY 09 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS CANCELLED SVR STRM WTCH 239 ISSUED AT 1245P FOR PORTIONS OF N IL LK CNTY IN S AND C WI LK MI THOMPSON WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Wed May 11 17:16:51 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 12:16:51 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL6 Message-ID: <200505111726.j4BHQUGb016619@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 111725 SEL6 SPC WW 111725 INZ000-OHZ000-120000- SVR STRM WTCH 246 NWS SPC 125P WED MAY 11 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF E C IN C AND N OH EFFCTVE THIS WEDNESDAYP AND EVE FROM 125P UNTL 800P. HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE MI E AND WEST OF A LN FROM 40 MI NORTH OF MANSFIELD OH TO 40 MI SW OF DAYTON OH. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION CNTINU WW 245 DISCUSSION STRMS EXP TO CNTINU INCREASING ACRS WATCH AREA DURING THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS ALONG AND E OF A SURFACE FRONT EXTENDING FROM NWRN OH INTO C IND AT 17Z. AIR MASS IS ALREADY VERY UNSTBL OVER IND AND FURTHER DESTABILIZATION IS LIKELY INTO C OH. SHEAR IS SFCNT FOR ORGANIZED STRMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS AND SMALL LNS WITH ATTENDANT THREATS OF LRG HAIL AND DMGG WINDS. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 27025. EVANS ;412,0803 392,0825 392,0863 412,0842; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Wed May 11 19:04:49 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 14:04:49 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200505111914.j4BJERNQ010764@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - JAY CNTY IN IN UNTL 245P : AT 207P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG PENNY SIZE HAIL. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED 6 MI E OF BRYANT OR ABT 9 MI SE OF BERNE AND MVNG E AT 20. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Wed May 11 19:43:38 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 14:43:38 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200505111953.j4BJrIUD006587@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - GRANT CNTY IN IN UNTL 330P : AT 246P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG PENNY SIZE HAIL. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED NR 5 MI NORTH OF MARION MVNG E AT 30. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Wed May 11 19:53:18 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 14:53:18 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200505112002.j4BK2uTZ013550@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - HUNTINGTON CNTY IN IN WELLS CNTY IN IN UNTL 345P : AT 256P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED 5 MI WEST OF WARREN OR ABT 12 MI S OF HUNTINGTON AND MVNG E AT 30. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Wed May 11 20:06:46 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 15:06:46 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200505112016.j4BKGONZ024111@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - BLACKFORD CNTY IN IN JAY CNTY IN IN UNTL 415P : AT 311P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED 4 MI NW OF HARTFORD CITY OR ABT 4 MI E OF UPLAND AND MVNG E AT 30. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Wed May 11 20:19:10 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 15:19:10 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200505112028.j4BKSm6X001630@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - ADAMS CNTY IN IN UNTL 415P : AT 321P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG QUARTER SIZE OR LRGR HAIL. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED 10 MI WEST OF DECATUR OR ABT 5 MI NE OF BLUFFTON AND MVNG E AT 20. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Wed May 11 20:31:44 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 15:31:44 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL1 Message-ID: <200505112041.j4BKfMko012299@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 112040 SEL1 SPC WW 112040 INZ000-OHZ000-120200- SVR STRM WTCH 251 NWS SPC 440P WED MAY 11 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF S AND C IN C OH EFFCTVE THIS WEDNESDAYP AND EVE FROM 440P UNTL 1000P. HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE MI EITHER SIDE OF A LN FROM 40 MI SE OF FINDLAY OH TO 10 MI SW OF TERRE HAUTE IN. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION THIS SVR STRM WATCH REPLACES SVR STRM WTCH 246. WTCH 246 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 440P. CNTINU WW 245 WW 247 WW 248 WW 249 WW 250 DISCUSSION BROKEN LN OF STRNG TO SVR STRMS CNTINUS FROM NWRN OH INTO WRN IND LATE THIS PM. AIR MASS REMAINS VERY UNSTBL AND MODERATELY SHEARED SUGGESTING STRMS WILL MAINTAIN A THREAT OF LRG HAIL AND DMGG WINDS AS SHIFT EWD ACRS WATCH AREA THIS EVE. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 26025. EVANS ;395,0825 383,0871 400,0874 411,0832; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Wed May 11 21:06:57 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 16:06:57 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200505112116.j4BLGZN0005929@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - JAY CNTY IN IN UNTL 500P : AT 410P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG LRG DMGG HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE. AT 410P TRAINED SPTRS RPRTD GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL 1 MI S OF REDKEY. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED NR REDKEY OR ABT 4 MI E OF ALBANY AND MVNG E AT 20. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Wed May 11 21:21:32 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 16:21:32 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200505112131.j4BLVAmH016889@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - PUTNAM CNTY IN OH UNTL 615P : AT 525P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG LRG DMGG HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED 6 MI WEST OF KALIDA OR ABT 11 MI NORTH OF DELPHOS AND MVNG E AT 40 . From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Wed May 11 21:24:52 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 16:24:52 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200505112134.j4BLYUTo019361@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - JAY CNTY IN IN UNTL 500P : AT 410P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG LRG DMGG HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE. AT 410P TRAINED SPTRS RPRTD GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL 1 MI S OF REDKEY. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED NR REDKEY OR ABT 4 MI E OF ALBANY AND MVNG E AT 20. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Wed May 11 21:35:32 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 16:35:32 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200505112145.j4BLj9I0027179@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - PUTNAM CNTY IN OH UNTL 615P : AT 525P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG LRG DMGG HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED 6 MI WEST OF KALIDA OR ABT 11 MI NORTH OF DELPHOS AND MVNG E AT 40 . From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Wed May 11 22:35:06 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 17:35:06 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200505112244.j4BMikrt001828@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - GRANT CNTY IN IN UNTL 615P : AT 535P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED NR FAIRMOUNT MVNG E AT 25. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Wed May 11 22:49:48 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 17:49:48 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200505112259.j4BMxRHO010264@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - BLACKFORD CNTY IN IN UNTL 645P : AT 550P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED 10 MI WEST OF HARTFORD CITY OR ABT 4 MI SW OF UPLAND AND MVNG E AT 20. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Fri May 13 17:40:38 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Fri, 13 May 2005 12:40:38 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL7 Message-ID: <200505131750.j4DHoAdu012964@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 131748 SEL7 SPC WW 131748 ILZ000-INZ000-MIZ000-OHZ000-LMZ000-140100- SVR STRM WTCH 267 NWS SPC 1250P FRI MAY 13 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF E IL C AND N IN S LWR MI NW OH LK MI EFFCTVE THIS FRIDAYP AND EVE FROM 1250P UNTL 800 PM. HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE MI E AND WEST OF A LN FROM 40 MI NORTH OF KALAMAZOO MI TO 35 MI S SW OF BLOOMINGTON IN. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. DISCUSSION SHOWERS/STRMS ARE INCREASING NR THE CHI AREA AND IN PLUME OF MOIST/UNSTBL AIR OVER S IND. WATCH AREA SHOULD SEE INCREASING CONV THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT STEEP LAPSE RATES AND AMPLE INSTABILITY WILL PROMOTE A RISK OF LRG HAIL AND DMGG WINDS IN STRNGER CELLS. AIR IS ALSO LIKELY TO DSTBLZ RPDLY NORTHWARD INTO LWR MI BY MID/LATE PM. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 25035. HART ;424,0834 384,0851 384,0883 424,0871; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Fri May 13 18:07:45 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Fri, 13 May 2005 13:07:45 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL8 Message-ID: <200505131817.j4DIHHB6030472@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 131816 SEL8 SPC WW 131816 ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-140100- SVR STRM WTCH 268 NWS SPC 120P FRI MAY 13 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EXTREME SE IL S IN W KY EFFCTVE THIS FRIDAYP AND EVE FROM 120P UNTL 800 PM. HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE MI E AND WEST OF A LN FROM 70 MI NE OF EVANSVILLE IN TO 40 MI S SE OF PADUCAH KY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION CNTINU WW 267 DISCUSSION BAND OF INTENSE STRMS ALONG THE WABASH/OH RVRS WILL TRACK EWARD INTO W KY AND S IND THIS PM. STRNG INSTABILITY AND SFCNT VERTICAL SHEAR WILL PROMOTE A RISK OF LRG HAIL AND DMGG WINDS IN STRNGER STRMS. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 25030. HART ;384,0853 363,0872 363,0893 384,0874; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Fri May 13 19:05:38 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Fri, 13 May 2005 14:05:38 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200505131915.j4DJFAhQ004141@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - DEFIANCE CNTY IN OH HENRY CNTY IN OH UNTL 415P : AT 307P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG PENNY SIZE HAIL. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED 7 MI S OF DEFIANCE AND MVNG E AT 30. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Fri May 13 19:32:43 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Fri, 13 May 2005 14:32:43 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL0 Message-ID: <200505131942.j4DJgEY1022755@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 131940 SEL0 SPC WW 131940 INZ000-KYZ000-MIZ000-OHZ000-LEZ000-140300- SVR STRM WTCH 270 NWS SPC 240P FRI MAY 13 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SE IN N KY SE LWR MI W AND C OH LK ERIE EFFCTVE THIS FRIDAYP AND EVE FROM 240P UNTL 1000 PM. HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE MI E AND WEST OF A LN FROM 30 MI E NE OF FLINT MI TO 55 MI S SE OF CINCINNATI OH. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION CNTINU WW 267 WW 268 WW 269 DISCUSSION CLUSTERS OF STRNG/SVR STRMS ARE MVNG ACRS IND AND W LWR MI. THESE STRMS WILL LIKELY MAINTAIN INTENSITY AND THEY SPREAD EWARD INTO OH. FAVORABLE VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES AND MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL PROMOTE THE RISK OF LRG HAIL AND DMGG WINDS. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 25035. HART ;430,0815 382,0825 382,0851 430,0842; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Fri May 13 19:33:55 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Fri, 13 May 2005 14:33:55 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200505131943.j4DJhQAT023397@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - MARSHALL CNTY IN IN UNTL 330P : AT 236P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED 5 MI WEST OF ARGOS OR ABT 6 MI S OF PLYMOUTH AND MVNG NE AT 35. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Thu May 19 17:42:25 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Thu, 19 May 2005 12:42:25 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL9 Message-ID: <200505191753.j4JHr2gB023695@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 191752 SEL9 SPC WW 191752 INZ000-KYZ000-TNZ000-200200- SVR STRM WTCH 289 NWS SPC 1250P THU MAY 19 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF S IN W KY W TN EFFCTVE THIS THURSDAYP AND EVE FROM 1250P UNTL 900P. HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE MI E AND WEST OF A LN FROM 10 MI S SW OF JACKSON TN TO 30 MI NW OF LOUISVILLE KY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION CNTINU WW 288 DISCUSSION STRMS CNTINU TO INCRS WITHIN VERY UNSTBL AIR MASS THIS PM. ACTIVITY IS EXP TO INITIALLY BE POORLY ORGANIZED AND POSE PRIMARILY A HAIL THREAT. STRM MAY BECOME INCREASINGLY ORGANIZED LATER THISP AS DEEP SHEAR STRENGTHENS ACRS THE REGION. ADDLLY STRM ACTIVITY INCREASING TO THE WEST OF THE MS/OH RVRS SHOULD SPREAD E INTO THE AREA BY LATEP WITH WIND AND HAIL PTNTL INCREASING. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 27020. CARBIN/HART ;352,0900 382,0871 382,0850 352,0875; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Thu May 19 18:51:03 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Thu, 19 May 2005 13:51:03 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL1 Message-ID: <200505191901.j4JJ1eAx004535@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 191900 SEL1 SPC WW 191900 INZ000-200200- TRNDO WTCH 291 NWS SPC 200P THU MAY 19 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A TRNDO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF S IN EFFCTVE THIS THURSDAYP AND EVE FROM 200P UNTL 900P. TRNDOES HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE TRNDO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE MI NORTH AND S OF A LN FROM 5 MI SW OF TERRE HAUTE IN TO 75 MI E SE OF INPOLIS IN. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). REMEMBER A TRNDO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TRNDOES AND SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION CNTINU WW 288 WW 289 WW 290 DISCUSSION AIR MASS IN THE WAKE OF MORNING CONV CNTINUS TO DSTBLZ WITH STRNG AND PERSISTENT SUPERCELL NOW TRACKING SEWD ALONG WELL DEFINED WARM FRONT/OUTFLOW ACRS PUTNAM CNTY. ADDL STRMS ARE EXP TO INCRS FROM SWRN IND TO THE SWRN OH BORDER THROUGH THEP WITH INCREASING DEEP LAYER SHEAR SUPPORTING SUPERCELLS WITH HAIL/HIGH WINDS AND POSSIBLY A COUPLE OF TRNDOES. AVIATION TRNDOES AND A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 29020. CARBIN/HART ;400,0872 400,0845 383,0845 384,0872; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Thu May 19 21:36:58 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Thu, 19 May 2005 16:36:58 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL3 Message-ID: <200505192147.j4JLlY3D022397@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 192146 SEL3 SPC WW 192146 INZ000-LMZ000-200200- SVR STRM WTCH 293 NWS SPC 450P THU MAY 19 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NW AND C IN LK MI EFFCTVE THIS THURSDAYP AND EVE FROM 450P UNTL 900P. HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40 STATUTE MI E AND WEST OF A LN FROM 30 MI WEST OF S BEND IN TO 40 MI S SE OF LAFAYETTE IN. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION CNTINU WW 288 WW 289 WW 290 WW 291 WW 292 DISCUSSION STRNG TO SVR STRMS EXP TO CNTINU DVLPNG/ MVNG SEWD OUT OF NERN IL AND INTO NWRN IND DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS ALONG AN INSTABILITY GRADIENT WHICH HAS BECOME ESTABLISHED ACRS THE REGION. LRG HAIL AND DMGG WINDS EXP TO ACCOMPANY THESE STRMS. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 30035. EVANS ;414,0860 395,0855 395,0872 414,0874; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Fri May 20 01:38:36 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Thu, 19 May 2005 20:38:36 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL5 Message-ID: <200505200149.j4K1nCgF014943@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 200147 SEL5 SPC WW 200147 INZ000-KYZ000-TNZ000-200700- SVR STRM WTCH 295 NWS SPC 850P THU MAY 19 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF C AND S IN C AND PART OF W KY N MID TN EFFCTVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 850P UNTL 200A. HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE MI E AND WEST OF A LN FROM 15 MI NORTH NW OF INPOLIS IN TO 35 MI S OF CLARKSVILLE TN. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION THIS SVR STRM WATCH REPLACES SVR STRM WTCH 289 TRNDO WTCH 291. WTCH 289 291 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 850P. CNTINU WW 290 WW 292 WW 293 WW 294 DISCUSSION LRG MCS WILL PERSIST ACRS KY AND LIKELY DVLP ESEWD INTO NRN/ERN TN AHEAD OF POTENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIGGING SEWD ACRS IL. MODERATE INSTABILITY AND 30-40 KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE SFCNT TO MAINTAIN A THREAT OF LRG HAIL AND DMGG WINDS ALONG WITH VERY HVY RAINFALL. ACTIVITY MAY CONSOLIDATE INTO A LRG SQL LN/LNAR MCS AS IT TRACKS ESEWD OVERNIGHT. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 29030. EVANS ;395,0851 360,0861 360,0882 395,0873; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Fri May 20 04:30:36 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Thu, 19 May 2005 23:30:36 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL7 Message-ID: <200505200441.j4K4fAPo021214@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 200440 SEL7 SPC WW 200440 ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-201100- SVR STRM WTCH 297 NWS SPC 1130P THU MAY 19 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF S IL SW IN W KY SE MO EFFCTVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 1130 PM UNTL 600A. HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE MI NORTH AND S OF A LN FROM 40 MI NORTH NW OF POPLAR BLUFF MO TO 10 MI SE OF OWENSBORO KY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION THIS SVR STRM WATCH REPLACES SVR STRM WTCH 294. WTCH 294 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 1130P. CNTINU WW 295 WW 296 DISCUSSION BROKEN LN OF STRNG TO SVR STRMS WITH THREATS OF LRG HAIL AND DMGG WINDS WILL CNTINU MVNG SSEWD ACRS WW TONIGHT. STRNG UPPER TROUGH DIGGING SEWD ACRS IL AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW/COLD FRONT WILL MAINTAIN STRMS AS PRE-FRONTAL AIR REMAINS MODERATELY UNSTBL. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 33035. EVANS ;381,0904 383,0870 364,0870 362,0904; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Fri May 20 10:05:28 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Fri, 20 May 2005 05:05:28 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL7 Message-ID: <200505201016.j4KAG2aQ019779@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 201015 SEL7 SPC WW 201014 ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-201100- SVR STRM WTCH 297 NWS SPC 0514A FRI MAY 20 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS CANCELLED SVR STRM WTCH 297 ISSUED AT 1130P FOR PORTIONS OF S IL SW IN W KY SE MO MEAD WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Mon May 9 17:37:16 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Mon, 09 May 2005 12:37:16 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL9 Message-ID: <200505091747.j49Hl2WS004391@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 091746 SEL9 SPC WW 091746 ILZ000-INZ000-WIZ000-LMZ000-100100- SVR STRM WTCH 239 NWS SPC 1245P MON MAY 9 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF N IL LK CNTY IN S AND C WI LK MI EFFCTVE THIS MONDAYP AND EVE FROM 1245P UNTL 800 PM. HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE MI E AND WEST OF A LN FROM 20 MI SE OF MARSEILLES IL TO 30 MI NORTH OF WAUSAU WI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. DISCUSSION STRMS ARE EXP TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD ACRS WI AND NRN IL THISP AHEAD OF APPROACHING MID LEVEL TROUGH. AREA REMAINS RELATIVELY MOIST ANDP HEATING WILL LIKELY SUPPORT MODERATE INSTABILITY INTO C/NRN WI. PRIMARY SVR THREATS WILL BE LRG HAIL AND DMGG WINDS AS STRMS INTENSIFY AND MOVE QUICKLY NNEWD INTO THE EARLY EVE. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 22035. EVANS ;410,0893 452,0905 452,0882 410,0871; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Mon May 9 22:55:18 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Mon, 09 May 2005 17:55:18 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL9 Message-ID: <200505092305.j49N53Pl015117@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 092303 SEL9 SPC WW 092303 ILZ000-INZ000-WIZ000-LMZ000-100100- SVR STRM WTCH 239 NWS SPC 0603P MON MAY 09 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS CANCELLED SVR STRM WTCH 239 ISSUED AT 1245P FOR PORTIONS OF N IL LK CNTY IN S AND C WI LK MI THOMPSON WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Wed May 11 17:16:51 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 12:16:51 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL6 Message-ID: <200505111726.j4BHQUGb016619@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 111725 SEL6 SPC WW 111725 INZ000-OHZ000-120000- SVR STRM WTCH 246 NWS SPC 125P WED MAY 11 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF E C IN C AND N OH EFFCTVE THIS WEDNESDAYP AND EVE FROM 125P UNTL 800P. HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE MI E AND WEST OF A LN FROM 40 MI NORTH OF MANSFIELD OH TO 40 MI SW OF DAYTON OH. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION CNTINU WW 245 DISCUSSION STRMS EXP TO CNTINU INCREASING ACRS WATCH AREA DURING THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS ALONG AND E OF A SURFACE FRONT EXTENDING FROM NWRN OH INTO C IND AT 17Z. AIR MASS IS ALREADY VERY UNSTBL OVER IND AND FURTHER DESTABILIZATION IS LIKELY INTO C OH. SHEAR IS SFCNT FOR ORGANIZED STRMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS AND SMALL LNS WITH ATTENDANT THREATS OF LRG HAIL AND DMGG WINDS. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 27025. EVANS ;412,0803 392,0825 392,0863 412,0842; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Wed May 11 19:04:49 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 14:04:49 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200505111914.j4BJERNQ010764@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - JAY CNTY IN IN UNTL 245P : AT 207P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG PENNY SIZE HAIL. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED 6 MI E OF BRYANT OR ABT 9 MI SE OF BERNE AND MVNG E AT 20. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Wed May 11 19:43:38 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 14:43:38 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200505111953.j4BJrIUD006587@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - GRANT CNTY IN IN UNTL 330P : AT 246P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG PENNY SIZE HAIL. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED NR 5 MI NORTH OF MARION MVNG E AT 30. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Wed May 11 19:53:18 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 14:53:18 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200505112002.j4BK2uTZ013550@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - HUNTINGTON CNTY IN IN WELLS CNTY IN IN UNTL 345P : AT 256P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED 5 MI WEST OF WARREN OR ABT 12 MI S OF HUNTINGTON AND MVNG E AT 30. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Wed May 11 20:06:46 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 15:06:46 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200505112016.j4BKGONZ024111@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - BLACKFORD CNTY IN IN JAY CNTY IN IN UNTL 415P : AT 311P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED 4 MI NW OF HARTFORD CITY OR ABT 4 MI E OF UPLAND AND MVNG E AT 30. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Wed May 11 20:19:10 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 15:19:10 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200505112028.j4BKSm6X001630@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - ADAMS CNTY IN IN UNTL 415P : AT 321P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG QUARTER SIZE OR LRGR HAIL. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED 10 MI WEST OF DECATUR OR ABT 5 MI NE OF BLUFFTON AND MVNG E AT 20. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Wed May 11 20:31:44 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 15:31:44 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL1 Message-ID: <200505112041.j4BKfMko012299@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 112040 SEL1 SPC WW 112040 INZ000-OHZ000-120200- SVR STRM WTCH 251 NWS SPC 440P WED MAY 11 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF S AND C IN C OH EFFCTVE THIS WEDNESDAYP AND EVE FROM 440P UNTL 1000P. HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE MI EITHER SIDE OF A LN FROM 40 MI SE OF FINDLAY OH TO 10 MI SW OF TERRE HAUTE IN. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION THIS SVR STRM WATCH REPLACES SVR STRM WTCH 246. WTCH 246 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 440P. CNTINU WW 245 WW 247 WW 248 WW 249 WW 250 DISCUSSION BROKEN LN OF STRNG TO SVR STRMS CNTINUS FROM NWRN OH INTO WRN IND LATE THIS PM. AIR MASS REMAINS VERY UNSTBL AND MODERATELY SHEARED SUGGESTING STRMS WILL MAINTAIN A THREAT OF LRG HAIL AND DMGG WINDS AS SHIFT EWD ACRS WATCH AREA THIS EVE. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 26025. EVANS ;395,0825 383,0871 400,0874 411,0832; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Wed May 11 21:06:57 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 16:06:57 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200505112116.j4BLGZN0005929@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - JAY CNTY IN IN UNTL 500P : AT 410P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG LRG DMGG HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE. AT 410P TRAINED SPTRS RPRTD GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL 1 MI S OF REDKEY. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED NR REDKEY OR ABT 4 MI E OF ALBANY AND MVNG E AT 20. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Wed May 11 21:21:32 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 16:21:32 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200505112131.j4BLVAmH016889@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - PUTNAM CNTY IN OH UNTL 615P : AT 525P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG LRG DMGG HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED 6 MI WEST OF KALIDA OR ABT 11 MI NORTH OF DELPHOS AND MVNG E AT 40 . From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Wed May 11 21:24:52 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 16:24:52 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200505112134.j4BLYUTo019361@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - JAY CNTY IN IN UNTL 500P : AT 410P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG LRG DMGG HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE. AT 410P TRAINED SPTRS RPRTD GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL 1 MI S OF REDKEY. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED NR REDKEY OR ABT 4 MI E OF ALBANY AND MVNG E AT 20. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Wed May 11 21:35:32 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 16:35:32 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200505112145.j4BLj9I0027179@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - PUTNAM CNTY IN OH UNTL 615P : AT 525P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG LRG DMGG HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED 6 MI WEST OF KALIDA OR ABT 11 MI NORTH OF DELPHOS AND MVNG E AT 40 . From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Wed May 11 22:35:06 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 17:35:06 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200505112244.j4BMikrt001828@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - GRANT CNTY IN IN UNTL 615P : AT 535P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED NR FAIRMOUNT MVNG E AT 25. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Wed May 11 22:49:48 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 17:49:48 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200505112259.j4BMxRHO010264@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - BLACKFORD CNTY IN IN UNTL 645P : AT 550P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED 10 MI WEST OF HARTFORD CITY OR ABT 4 MI SW OF UPLAND AND MVNG E AT 20. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Fri May 13 17:40:38 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Fri, 13 May 2005 12:40:38 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL7 Message-ID: <200505131750.j4DHoAdu012964@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 131748 SEL7 SPC WW 131748 ILZ000-INZ000-MIZ000-OHZ000-LMZ000-140100- SVR STRM WTCH 267 NWS SPC 1250P FRI MAY 13 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF E IL C AND N IN S LWR MI NW OH LK MI EFFCTVE THIS FRIDAYP AND EVE FROM 1250P UNTL 800 PM. HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE MI E AND WEST OF A LN FROM 40 MI NORTH OF KALAMAZOO MI TO 35 MI S SW OF BLOOMINGTON IN. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. DISCUSSION SHOWERS/STRMS ARE INCREASING NR THE CHI AREA AND IN PLUME OF MOIST/UNSTBL AIR OVER S IND. WATCH AREA SHOULD SEE INCREASING CONV THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT STEEP LAPSE RATES AND AMPLE INSTABILITY WILL PROMOTE A RISK OF LRG HAIL AND DMGG WINDS IN STRNGER CELLS. AIR IS ALSO LIKELY TO DSTBLZ RPDLY NORTHWARD INTO LWR MI BY MID/LATE PM. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 25035. HART ;424,0834 384,0851 384,0883 424,0871; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Fri May 13 18:07:45 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Fri, 13 May 2005 13:07:45 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL8 Message-ID: <200505131817.j4DIHHB6030472@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 131816 SEL8 SPC WW 131816 ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-140100- SVR STRM WTCH 268 NWS SPC 120P FRI MAY 13 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EXTREME SE IL S IN W KY EFFCTVE THIS FRIDAYP AND EVE FROM 120P UNTL 800 PM. HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE MI E AND WEST OF A LN FROM 70 MI NE OF EVANSVILLE IN TO 40 MI S SE OF PADUCAH KY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION CNTINU WW 267 DISCUSSION BAND OF INTENSE STRMS ALONG THE WABASH/OH RVRS WILL TRACK EWARD INTO W KY AND S IND THIS PM. STRNG INSTABILITY AND SFCNT VERTICAL SHEAR WILL PROMOTE A RISK OF LRG HAIL AND DMGG WINDS IN STRNGER STRMS. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 25030. HART ;384,0853 363,0872 363,0893 384,0874; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Fri May 13 19:05:38 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Fri, 13 May 2005 14:05:38 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200505131915.j4DJFAhQ004141@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - DEFIANCE CNTY IN OH HENRY CNTY IN OH UNTL 415P : AT 307P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG PENNY SIZE HAIL. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED 7 MI S OF DEFIANCE AND MVNG E AT 30. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Fri May 13 19:32:43 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Fri, 13 May 2005 14:32:43 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL0 Message-ID: <200505131942.j4DJgEY1022755@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 131940 SEL0 SPC WW 131940 INZ000-KYZ000-MIZ000-OHZ000-LEZ000-140300- SVR STRM WTCH 270 NWS SPC 240P FRI MAY 13 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SE IN N KY SE LWR MI W AND C OH LK ERIE EFFCTVE THIS FRIDAYP AND EVE FROM 240P UNTL 1000 PM. HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE MI E AND WEST OF A LN FROM 30 MI E NE OF FLINT MI TO 55 MI S SE OF CINCINNATI OH. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION CNTINU WW 267 WW 268 WW 269 DISCUSSION CLUSTERS OF STRNG/SVR STRMS ARE MVNG ACRS IND AND W LWR MI. THESE STRMS WILL LIKELY MAINTAIN INTENSITY AND THEY SPREAD EWARD INTO OH. FAVORABLE VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES AND MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL PROMOTE THE RISK OF LRG HAIL AND DMGG WINDS. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 25035. HART ;430,0815 382,0825 382,0851 430,0842; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Fri May 13 19:33:55 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Fri, 13 May 2005 14:33:55 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200505131943.j4DJhQAT023397@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - MARSHALL CNTY IN IN UNTL 330P : AT 236P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED 5 MI WEST OF ARGOS OR ABT 6 MI S OF PLYMOUTH AND MVNG NE AT 35. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Thu May 19 17:42:25 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Thu, 19 May 2005 12:42:25 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL9 Message-ID: <200505191753.j4JHr2gB023695@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 191752 SEL9 SPC WW 191752 INZ000-KYZ000-TNZ000-200200- SVR STRM WTCH 289 NWS SPC 1250P THU MAY 19 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF S IN W KY W TN EFFCTVE THIS THURSDAYP AND EVE FROM 1250P UNTL 900P. HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE MI E AND WEST OF A LN FROM 10 MI S SW OF JACKSON TN TO 30 MI NW OF LOUISVILLE KY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION CNTINU WW 288 DISCUSSION STRMS CNTINU TO INCRS WITHIN VERY UNSTBL AIR MASS THIS PM. ACTIVITY IS EXP TO INITIALLY BE POORLY ORGANIZED AND POSE PRIMARILY A HAIL THREAT. STRM MAY BECOME INCREASINGLY ORGANIZED LATER THISP AS DEEP SHEAR STRENGTHENS ACRS THE REGION. ADDLLY STRM ACTIVITY INCREASING TO THE WEST OF THE MS/OH RVRS SHOULD SPREAD E INTO THE AREA BY LATEP WITH WIND AND HAIL PTNTL INCREASING. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 27020. CARBIN/HART ;352,0900 382,0871 382,0850 352,0875; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Thu May 19 18:51:03 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Thu, 19 May 2005 13:51:03 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL1 Message-ID: <200505191901.j4JJ1eAx004535@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 191900 SEL1 SPC WW 191900 INZ000-200200- TRNDO WTCH 291 NWS SPC 200P THU MAY 19 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A TRNDO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF S IN EFFCTVE THIS THURSDAYP AND EVE FROM 200P UNTL 900P. TRNDOES HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE TRNDO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE MI NORTH AND S OF A LN FROM 5 MI SW OF TERRE HAUTE IN TO 75 MI E SE OF INPOLIS IN. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). REMEMBER A TRNDO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TRNDOES AND SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION CNTINU WW 288 WW 289 WW 290 DISCUSSION AIR MASS IN THE WAKE OF MORNING CONV CNTINUS TO DSTBLZ WITH STRNG AND PERSISTENT SUPERCELL NOW TRACKING SEWD ALONG WELL DEFINED WARM FRONT/OUTFLOW ACRS PUTNAM CNTY. ADDL STRMS ARE EXP TO INCRS FROM SWRN IND TO THE SWRN OH BORDER THROUGH THEP WITH INCREASING DEEP LAYER SHEAR SUPPORTING SUPERCELLS WITH HAIL/HIGH WINDS AND POSSIBLY A COUPLE OF TRNDOES. AVIATION TRNDOES AND A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 29020. CARBIN/HART ;400,0872 400,0845 383,0845 384,0872; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Thu May 19 21:36:58 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Thu, 19 May 2005 16:36:58 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL3 Message-ID: <200505192147.j4JLlY3D022397@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 192146 SEL3 SPC WW 192146 INZ000-LMZ000-200200- SVR STRM WTCH 293 NWS SPC 450P THU MAY 19 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NW AND C IN LK MI EFFCTVE THIS THURSDAYP AND EVE FROM 450P UNTL 900P. HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40 STATUTE MI E AND WEST OF A LN FROM 30 MI WEST OF S BEND IN TO 40 MI S SE OF LAFAYETTE IN. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION CNTINU WW 288 WW 289 WW 290 WW 291 WW 292 DISCUSSION STRNG TO SVR STRMS EXP TO CNTINU DVLPNG/ MVNG SEWD OUT OF NERN IL AND INTO NWRN IND DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS ALONG AN INSTABILITY GRADIENT WHICH HAS BECOME ESTABLISHED ACRS THE REGION. LRG HAIL AND DMGG WINDS EXP TO ACCOMPANY THESE STRMS. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 30035. EVANS ;414,0860 395,0855 395,0872 414,0874; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Fri May 20 01:38:36 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Thu, 19 May 2005 20:38:36 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL5 Message-ID: <200505200149.j4K1nCgF014943@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 200147 SEL5 SPC WW 200147 INZ000-KYZ000-TNZ000-200700- SVR STRM WTCH 295 NWS SPC 850P THU MAY 19 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF C AND S IN C AND PART OF W KY N MID TN EFFCTVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 850P UNTL 200A. HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE MI E AND WEST OF A LN FROM 15 MI NORTH NW OF INPOLIS IN TO 35 MI S OF CLARKSVILLE TN. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION THIS SVR STRM WATCH REPLACES SVR STRM WTCH 289 TRNDO WTCH 291. WTCH 289 291 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 850P. CNTINU WW 290 WW 292 WW 293 WW 294 DISCUSSION LRG MCS WILL PERSIST ACRS KY AND LIKELY DVLP ESEWD INTO NRN/ERN TN AHEAD OF POTENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIGGING SEWD ACRS IL. MODERATE INSTABILITY AND 30-40 KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE SFCNT TO MAINTAIN A THREAT OF LRG HAIL AND DMGG WINDS ALONG WITH VERY HVY RAINFALL. ACTIVITY MAY CONSOLIDATE INTO A LRG SQL LN/LNAR MCS AS IT TRACKS ESEWD OVERNIGHT. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 29030. EVANS ;395,0851 360,0861 360,0882 395,0873; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Fri May 20 04:30:36 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Thu, 19 May 2005 23:30:36 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL7 Message-ID: <200505200441.j4K4fAPo021214@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 200440 SEL7 SPC WW 200440 ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-201100- SVR STRM WTCH 297 NWS SPC 1130P THU MAY 19 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF S IL SW IN W KY SE MO EFFCTVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 1130 PM UNTL 600A. HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE MI NORTH AND S OF A LN FROM 40 MI NORTH NW OF POPLAR BLUFF MO TO 10 MI SE OF OWENSBORO KY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION THIS SVR STRM WATCH REPLACES SVR STRM WTCH 294. WTCH 294 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 1130P. CNTINU WW 295 WW 296 DISCUSSION BROKEN LN OF STRNG TO SVR STRMS WITH THREATS OF LRG HAIL AND DMGG WINDS WILL CNTINU MVNG SSEWD ACRS WW TONIGHT. STRNG UPPER TROUGH DIGGING SEWD ACRS IL AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW/COLD FRONT WILL MAINTAIN STRMS AS PRE-FRONTAL AIR REMAINS MODERATELY UNSTBL. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 33035. EVANS ;381,0904 383,0870 364,0870 362,0904; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Fri May 20 10:05:28 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Fri, 20 May 2005 05:05:28 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL7 Message-ID: <200505201016.j4KAG2aQ019779@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 201015 SEL7 SPC WW 201014 ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-201100- SVR STRM WTCH 297 NWS SPC 0514A FRI MAY 20 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS CANCELLED SVR STRM WTCH 297 ISSUED AT 1130P FOR PORTIONS OF S IL SW IN W KY SE MO MEAD WWWW