From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Mon Aug 8 20:29:59 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Mon, 08 Aug 2005 15:29:59 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200508082058.j78KwGgM002843@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - E ALLEN CNTY IN IN PAULDING CNTY IN OH UNTL 545P(445P) : AT 451P(351P) NWS 88D INDCTD A LN OF SVR STRMS CAPBL OF PRDCNG PENNY SIZE HAIL AND DMGG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60. THESE SVR STRMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LN EXTENDING FROM 8 MI E OF PAULDING TO 4 MI SE OF ANTWERP TO WOODBURN OR ALONG A LN EXTENDING FROM 12 MI S OF DEFIANCE TO 11 MI S OF HICKSVILLE TO 10 MI E OF NEW HAVEN. THESE SVR STRMS WERE NRLY STATIONARY. IN ADDITION TORRENTIAL RAIN CAN BE EXP WITH THIS LN OF STRMS. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Mon Aug 8 21:36:21 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Mon, 08 Aug 2005 16:36:21 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200508082204.j78M4a3U003206@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - ALLEN CNTY IN IN UNTL 600P : AT 500P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DMGG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED 4 MI NW OF NEW HAVEN AND MVNG NW AT 5. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Mon Aug 8 22:21:43 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Mon, 08 Aug 2005 17:21:43 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200508082249.j78MnuqZ021876@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - NE WHITLEY CNTY IN IN UNTL 645P : AT 546P NWS 88D INDCTD A LN OF SVR STRMS CAPBL OF PRDCNG NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND DMGG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60. THESE SVR STRMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LN EXTENDING FROM 4 MI E OF TRI-LKS TO 7 MI E OF COLUMBIA CITY TO 9 MI E OF COLUMBIA CITY AND MVNG WEST AT 5. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Sat Aug 13 20:20:13 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Sat, 13 Aug 2005 15:20:13 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200508132137.j7DLbbNF012462@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - S PAULDING CNTY IN OH N VAN WERT CNTY IN OH UNTL 630P : AT 534P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG DMGG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED NR CONVOY OR ABT 9 MI NW OF VAN WERT AND MVNG NE AT 25. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Sat Aug 13 21:22:33 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Sat, 13 Aug 2005 16:22:33 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200508132239.j7DMdvVe029226@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - S HENRY CNTY IN OH PUTNAM CNTY IN OH UNTL 745P : AT 635P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG DMGG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED NR CONTINENTAL OR ABT 10 MI NW OF OTTAWA AND MVNG E AT 30. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Wed Aug 17 12:07:47 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Wed, 17 Aug 2005 07:07:47 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL2 Message-ID: <200508171325.j7HDPKwp022792@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 142228 SEL2 SPC WW 142228 ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-150300- SVR STRM WTCH 722 NWS SPC 525P SUN AUG 14 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF S IL S IN W AND C KY EFFCTVE THIS SUNDAYP AND EVE FROM 525P UNTL 1000 PM. HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE MI NORTH AND S OF A LN FROM 35 MI NW OF PADUCAH KY TO 45 MI E OF OWENSBORO KY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION CNTINU WW 720 WW 721 DISCUSSION STRNG/SVR STRMS OVER SERN MO ARE DVLPNG EWD INTO SRN IL AND WRN KY IN ADVANCE OF MCV MVNG ENEWD ACRS MO. STRNGEST ACTIVITY WILL CNTINU ALONG FRONTAL ZONE EXTENDING ENEWD ACRS KY. AIR IS VERY WARM/MOIST S OF THE BNDRY WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 90S WITH DEWPOINTS NR 70 CONTRIBUTING TO MLCAPE OF 2000 J/KG. AREA IS ALONG SRN EDGE OF STRNGER MID LEVEL FLOW WHICH WILL AID CONVECTIVE SCALE ORGANIZATION. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 24020. WEISS ;381,0891 383,0861 365,0861 363,0891;  From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Thu Aug 18 13:04:19 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Thu, 18 Aug 2005 08:04:19 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL9 Message-ID: <200508181421.j7IELnMB023300@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 181420 SEL9 SPC WW 181420 ILZ000-INZ000-LMZ000-182000- SVR STRM WTCH 729 NWS SPC 925A THU AUG 18 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF N IL NW IN LK MI EFFCTVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING ANDP FROM 925A UNTL 300P. HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE MI E AND WEST OF A LN FROM 45 MI NORTH OF MEIGS FIELD IL TO 30 MI S SE OF MARSEILLES IL. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. DISCUSSION LRG CLUSTER OF INTENSE STRMS OVER NW IL WILL CNTINU TO TRACK EWARD THROUGH THE DAY TOWARD THE CHI METRO AREA. MOIST/UNSTBL AIR MASS AND APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH WILL POSE A THREAT OF DMGG WINDS AND LRG HAIL IN STRNGER STRMS. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 24030. HART ;422,0861 405,0871 405,0894 422,0885; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Fri Aug 19 02:14:10 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Thu, 18 Aug 2005 21:14:10 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL3 Message-ID: <200508190331.j7J3Vb8L013331@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 190330 SEL3 SPC WW 190330 ILZ000-INZ000-191100- SVR STRM WTCH 733 NWS SPC 1025P THU AUG 18 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF C IL WEST C IN EFFCTVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 1025 PM UNTL 600A. HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE MI NORTH AND S OF A LN FROM 45 MI WEST NW OF SPRINGFIELD IL TO 30 MI E OF TERRE HAUTE IN. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION CNTINU WW 731 DISCUSSION STRMS EXP TO CNTINU DVLPNG/INTENSIFYING ACRS WW OVERNIGHT WITHIN BROAD LOW LEVEL WAA REGIME. DEEP LAYER SHEAR REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS WITHIN STRNGLY UNSTBL AIR MASS. LRG HAIL AND DMGG WINDS WILL BE PRIMARY SVR THREATS DESPITE THE SLIGHTLY ELEVATED NATURE TO THE INITIAL DVLPMENT. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 27030. EVANS ;405,0902 401,0864 383,0864 391,0902; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Sat Aug 20 15:59:51 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Sat, 20 Aug 2005 10:59:51 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL7 Message-ID: <200508201717.j7KHHC7e007545@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 201715 SEL7 SPC WW 201715 INZ000-KYZ000-OHZ000-LEZ000-202300- SVR STRM WTCH 737 NWS SPC 115P SAT AUG 20 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF S AND E IN N KY OH LK ERIE EFFCTVE THIS SATURDAYP AND EVE FROM 115P UNTL 700P. HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE MI E AND WEST OF A LN FROM 30 MI NW OF CLEVELAND OH TO 40 MI WEST SW OF LOUISVILLE KY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. DISCUSSION STRMS ARE DVLPNG ALONG BNDRY FROM EXTREME NERN IN INTO SWRN IN IN ADVANCE OF VIGOROUS UPPER TROUGH MVNG TOWARD THE GREAT LKS. AIR IS VERY MOIST AND UNSTBL WITH MLCAPE VALUES IN THE 2500-3500 J/KG RANGE AND ADDL DESTABILIZATION IS PSBL AS STRNG HEATING OCCURS THIS PM. MODERATELY STRNG UNIDIRECTIONAL MID LEVEL WINDS OF 35-50 KT AND LRG DCAPE WILL PROMOTE DVLPMENT OF BOWING LN SEGMENTS WITH PTNTL FOR WIDESPREAD DMGG WINDS. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 25035. WEISS ;414,0801 375,0843 375,0881 414,0841; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Sun Aug 28 01:44:00 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Sat, 27 Aug 2005 20:44:00 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL7 Message-ID: <200508280301.j7S31kmo007892@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 261558 SEL7 SPC WW 261558 ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-262300- SVR STRM WTCH 747 NWS SPC 1055A FRI AUG 26 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF S IL SW IN W KY SE MO EFFCTVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING AND EVE FROM 1055A UNTL 600 PM. HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE MI EITHER SIDE OF A LN FROM 5 MI SE OF OWENSBORO KY TO 20 MI NORTH NW OF FORT LEONARD WOOD MO. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. DISCUSSION STRNG MCS AND WELL-DEFINED CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BNDRY MVNG E INTO INCREASINGLY UNSTBL AIR MASS FROM SCNTRL/SE MO EWD. SYSTEM IS EXP TO BE MAINTAINED BY MODEST LRG SCALE FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH SRN FRINGE OF GREAT PLAINS UPPER TROUGH. NUMEROUS STRMS AND A FEW SUPERCELLS WILL MOVE E ACRS THE WATCH AREA THROUGH THE PM. HAIL AND DMGG WINDS APPEAR TO BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WITH THIS ACTIVITY. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 27035. CARBIN/THOMPSON ;362,0871 364,0922 391,0920 385,0870; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Mon Aug 8 20:29:59 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Mon, 08 Aug 2005 15:29:59 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200508082058.j78KwGgM002843@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - E ALLEN CNTY IN IN PAULDING CNTY IN OH UNTL 545P(445P) : AT 451P(351P) NWS 88D INDCTD A LN OF SVR STRMS CAPBL OF PRDCNG PENNY SIZE HAIL AND DMGG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60. THESE SVR STRMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LN EXTENDING FROM 8 MI E OF PAULDING TO 4 MI SE OF ANTWERP TO WOODBURN OR ALONG A LN EXTENDING FROM 12 MI S OF DEFIANCE TO 11 MI S OF HICKSVILLE TO 10 MI E OF NEW HAVEN. THESE SVR STRMS WERE NRLY STATIONARY. IN ADDITION TORRENTIAL RAIN CAN BE EXP WITH THIS LN OF STRMS. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Mon Aug 8 21:36:21 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Mon, 08 Aug 2005 16:36:21 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200508082204.j78M4a3U003206@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - ALLEN CNTY IN IN UNTL 600P : AT 500P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DMGG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED 4 MI NW OF NEW HAVEN AND MVNG NW AT 5. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Mon Aug 8 22:21:43 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Mon, 08 Aug 2005 17:21:43 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200508082249.j78MnuqZ021876@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - NE WHITLEY CNTY IN IN UNTL 645P : AT 546P NWS 88D INDCTD A LN OF SVR STRMS CAPBL OF PRDCNG NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND DMGG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60. THESE SVR STRMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LN EXTENDING FROM 4 MI E OF TRI-LKS TO 7 MI E OF COLUMBIA CITY TO 9 MI E OF COLUMBIA CITY AND MVNG WEST AT 5. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Sat Aug 13 20:20:13 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Sat, 13 Aug 2005 15:20:13 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200508132137.j7DLbbNF012462@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - S PAULDING CNTY IN OH N VAN WERT CNTY IN OH UNTL 630P : AT 534P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG DMGG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED NR CONVOY OR ABT 9 MI NW OF VAN WERT AND MVNG NE AT 25. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Sat Aug 13 21:22:33 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Sat, 13 Aug 2005 16:22:33 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SVRIWX Message-ID: <200508132239.j7DMdvVe029226@mail.goshen.edu> SVR STRM WRNG - S HENRY CNTY IN OH PUTNAM CNTY IN OH UNTL 745P : AT 635P NWS 88D INDCTD A SVR STRM CAPBL OF PRDCNG DMGG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60. THIS SVR STRM WAS LOCATED NR CONTINENTAL OR ABT 10 MI NW OF OTTAWA AND MVNG E AT 30. From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Wed Aug 17 12:07:47 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Wed, 17 Aug 2005 07:07:47 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL2 Message-ID: <200508171325.j7HDPKwp022792@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 142228 SEL2 SPC WW 142228 ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-150300- SVR STRM WTCH 722 NWS SPC 525P SUN AUG 14 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF S IL S IN W AND C KY EFFCTVE THIS SUNDAYP AND EVE FROM 525P UNTL 1000 PM. HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE MI NORTH AND S OF A LN FROM 35 MI NW OF PADUCAH KY TO 45 MI E OF OWENSBORO KY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION CNTINU WW 720 WW 721 DISCUSSION STRNG/SVR STRMS OVER SERN MO ARE DVLPNG EWD INTO SRN IL AND WRN KY IN ADVANCE OF MCV MVNG ENEWD ACRS MO. STRNGEST ACTIVITY WILL CNTINU ALONG FRONTAL ZONE EXTENDING ENEWD ACRS KY. AIR IS VERY WARM/MOIST S OF THE BNDRY WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 90S WITH DEWPOINTS NR 70 CONTRIBUTING TO MLCAPE OF 2000 J/KG. AREA IS ALONG SRN EDGE OF STRNGER MID LEVEL FLOW WHICH WILL AID CONVECTIVE SCALE ORGANIZATION. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 24020. WEISS ;381,0891 383,0861 365,0861 363,0891;  From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Thu Aug 18 13:04:19 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Thu, 18 Aug 2005 08:04:19 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL9 Message-ID: <200508181421.j7IELnMB023300@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 181420 SEL9 SPC WW 181420 ILZ000-INZ000-LMZ000-182000- SVR STRM WTCH 729 NWS SPC 925A THU AUG 18 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF N IL NW IN LK MI EFFCTVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING ANDP FROM 925A UNTL 300P. HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE MI E AND WEST OF A LN FROM 45 MI NORTH OF MEIGS FIELD IL TO 30 MI S SE OF MARSEILLES IL. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. DISCUSSION LRG CLUSTER OF INTENSE STRMS OVER NW IL WILL CNTINU TO TRACK EWARD THROUGH THE DAY TOWARD THE CHI METRO AREA. MOIST/UNSTBL AIR MASS AND APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH WILL POSE A THREAT OF DMGG WINDS AND LRG HAIL IN STRNGER STRMS. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 24030. HART ;422,0861 405,0871 405,0894 422,0885; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Fri Aug 19 02:14:10 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Thu, 18 Aug 2005 21:14:10 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL3 Message-ID: <200508190331.j7J3Vb8L013331@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 190330 SEL3 SPC WW 190330 ILZ000-INZ000-191100- SVR STRM WTCH 733 NWS SPC 1025P THU AUG 18 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF C IL WEST C IN EFFCTVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 1025 PM UNTL 600A. HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE MI NORTH AND S OF A LN FROM 45 MI WEST NW OF SPRINGFIELD IL TO 30 MI E OF TERRE HAUTE IN. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION CNTINU WW 731 DISCUSSION STRMS EXP TO CNTINU DVLPNG/INTENSIFYING ACRS WW OVERNIGHT WITHIN BROAD LOW LEVEL WAA REGIME. DEEP LAYER SHEAR REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS WITHIN STRNGLY UNSTBL AIR MASS. LRG HAIL AND DMGG WINDS WILL BE PRIMARY SVR THREATS DESPITE THE SLIGHTLY ELEVATED NATURE TO THE INITIAL DVLPMENT. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 27030. EVANS ;405,0902 401,0864 383,0864 391,0902; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Sat Aug 20 15:59:51 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Sat, 20 Aug 2005 10:59:51 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL7 Message-ID: <200508201717.j7KHHC7e007545@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 201715 SEL7 SPC WW 201715 INZ000-KYZ000-OHZ000-LEZ000-202300- SVR STRM WTCH 737 NWS SPC 115P SAT AUG 20 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF S AND E IN N KY OH LK ERIE EFFCTVE THIS SATURDAYP AND EVE FROM 115P UNTL 700P. HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE MI E AND WEST OF A LN FROM 30 MI NW OF CLEVELAND OH TO 40 MI WEST SW OF LOUISVILLE KY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. DISCUSSION STRMS ARE DVLPNG ALONG BNDRY FROM EXTREME NERN IN INTO SWRN IN IN ADVANCE OF VIGOROUS UPPER TROUGH MVNG TOWARD THE GREAT LKS. AIR IS VERY MOIST AND UNSTBL WITH MLCAPE VALUES IN THE 2500-3500 J/KG RANGE AND ADDL DESTABILIZATION IS PSBL AS STRNG HEATING OCCURS THIS PM. MODERATELY STRNG UNIDIRECTIONAL MID LEVEL WINDS OF 35-50 KT AND LRG DCAPE WILL PROMOTE DVLPMENT OF BOWING LN SEGMENTS WITH PTNTL FOR WIDESPREAD DMGG WINDS. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 25035. WEISS ;414,0801 375,0843 375,0881 414,0841; WWWW From IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org Sun Aug 28 01:44:00 2005 From: IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org (IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org) Date: Sat, 27 Aug 2005 20:44:00 -0500 Subject: [IWX_warnings] SEL7 Message-ID: <200508280301.j7S31kmo007892@mail.goshen.edu> WWUS20 KWNS 261558 SEL7 SPC WW 261558 ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-262300- SVR STRM WTCH 747 NWS SPC 1055A FRI AUG 26 2005 THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF S IL SW IN W KY SE MO EFFCTVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING AND EVE FROM 1055A UNTL 600 PM. HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS. THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE MI EITHER SIDE OF A LN FROM 5 MI SE OF OWENSBORO KY TO 20 MI NORTH NW OF FORT LEONARD WOOD MO. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLN UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE TRNDOES. DISCUSSION STRNG MCS AND WELL-DEFINED CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BNDRY MVNG E INTO INCREASINGLY UNSTBL AIR MASS FROM SCNTRL/SE MO EWD. SYSTEM IS EXP TO BE MAINTAINED BY MODEST LRG SCALE FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH SRN FRINGE OF GREAT PLAINS UPPER TROUGH. NUMEROUS STRMS AND A FEW SUPERCELLS WILL MOVE E ACRS THE WATCH AREA THROUGH THE PM. HAIL AND DMGG WINDS APPEAR TO BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WITH THIS ACTIVITY. AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 27035. CARBIN/THOMPSON ;362,0871 364,0922 391,0920 385,0870; WWWW