[IWX_warnings] SEL9

[IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org]

WWUS20 KWNS 182213
SEL9  
SPC WW 182205
ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-190300-


TRNDO WTCH 859
NWS SPC 
505P MON OCT 18 2004

THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A
TRNDO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       S IL
       EXTREME SW IN
       W KY
       SE MO

EFFCTVE THIS MONDAYP AND EVE FROM 505P UNTL 1000
PM.

TRNDOES HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TRNDO WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 70 STATUTE MI NORTH AND
S OF A LN FROM 50 MI NORTH OF POPLAR BLUFF MO TO 30
MI SE OF EVANSVILLE IN.

REMEMBER A TRNDO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TRNDOES AND SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL
WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION THIS TRNDO WATCH REPLACES TRNDO
WTCH 856. WTCH 856 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 505
PM. CNTINU WW 857 WW 858 

DISCUSSION TRNDC SUPERCELLS ARE EXP TO PERSIST FOR A FEW
MORE HOURS AS THEY MOVE EWD AT 40 KT ALONG WARM FRONT THAT STRETCHES
ESEWD S OF A STL-EVV LN. AIR MASS ALONG AND S OF THE WARM
FRONT REMAINS STRNGLY UNSTBL AND LOW/DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS
FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS WITH LRG HAIL AND ISOLATED TRNDOES.
NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT LRG HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN SVR WX
THREAT.

AVIATION TRNDOES AND A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 28035.


 IMY

;382,0902 384,0870 364,0870 362,0902; 

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