[IWX_warnings] SEL4

[IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org]

WWUS20 KWNS 232050
SEL4  
SPC WW 232050
ILZ000-INZ000-MIZ000-OHZ000-LMZ000-LEZ000-240300-


TRNDO WTCH 264
NWS SPC 
450P SUN MAY 23 2004

THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A
TRNDO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       E IL
       N IN
       S LWR MI
       NW OH
       LK MI
       LK ERIE

EFFCTVE THIS SUNDAYP AND EVE FROM 450P UNTL 1100
PM.

TRNDOES HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TRNDO WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 65 STATUTE MI NORTH AND
S OF A LN FROM 65 MI S SW OF MEIGS FIELD
IL TO 15 MI SE OF MOUNT CLEMENS MI.

REMEMBER A TRNDO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TRNDOES AND SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL
WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION THIS TRNDO WATCH REPLACES TRNDO
WTCH 259. WTCH 259 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 450
PM. CNTINU WW 261 WW 262 WW 263 

DISCUSSION CLUSTER OF SVR STRMS CNTINU NEWD ACRS IN
INTO LWR MI. AIR MASS REMAINS MODERATELY UNSTBL WITH MLCAPE TO
2500 J/KG AS DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS NOW ARND 40 KT.  FURTHER
DVLPMENT IS EXP AHEAD OF ADVANCING COLD FRONT MVNG EWD
THRU SERN IA AND C MO ENHANCING UVVS ACRS IL INTO IN LATER
THIS EVE.  FAVORABLE SHEAR AND INSTABILITY INDICATES FAVORABLE
CONDITIONS FOR SUPERCELLS.

AVIATION TRNDOES AND A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


 MCCARTHY

;415,0880 432,0823 412,0823 400,0880;