[IWX_warnings] SEL9

[IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org]

WWUS20 KWNS 231510
SEL9  
SPC WW 231510
INZ000-MIZ000-OHZ000-LMZ000-LEZ000-LHZ000-232100-


TRNDO WTCH 259
NWS SPC 
1110A SUN MAY 23 2004

THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A
TRNDO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       N AND C IN
       S HALF OF LWR MI
       NW OH
       LK MI
       LK ERIE
       LK HURON

EFFCTVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING ANDP FROM 1110A UNTL 500
PM.

TRNDOES HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TRNDO WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 85 STATUTE MI NORTH AND
S OF A LN FROM 40 MI SW OF S BEND IN TO
25 MI E SE OF MOUNT CLEMENS MI.

REMEMBER A TRNDO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TRNDOES AND SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL
WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION AIR MASS CNTINUS TO DSTBLZ RPDLY S OF
QUASISTATIONARY BNDRY ACRS SRN LWR MI.  MOST UNSTBL CAPE IS
JST ABOVE 2500 J/KG AHEAD OF LN OF CONV MVNG THROUGH
EXTREME ERN IL.  SURFACE BASED CONV IS EXP TO DVLP
RPDLY NEXT FEW HOURS AND AS MID/UPPER LEVEL JET EXIT REGION
MOVES INTO REGION SHEAR PROFILES WILL INCRS ENHANCING TRNDO
THREAT.

AVIATION TRNDOES AND A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STRM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


 MCCARTHY

;423,0865 434,0822 411,0822 400,0865;