[IWX_warnings] SEL6

[IWX_warnings at goshenarc.org]

WWUS20 KWNS 181751
SEL6  
SPC WW 181745
INZ000-MDZ000-OHZ000-PAZ000-WVZ000-LEZ000-190000-


SVR STRM WTCH 216
NWS SPC 
145P TUE MAY 18 2004

THE NWS SPC HAS ISSUED A
SVR STRM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       C IN
       W MD
       OH
       W PA
       N WEST VA
       LK ERIE

EFFCTVE THIS TUESDAYP AND EVE FROM 145P UNTL 800
PM.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER STRM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH AND DNGRS LIGHTNING ARE PSBL IN THESE AREAS.

THE SVR STRM WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 80 STATUTE MI
NORTH AND S OF A LN FROM 35 MI SW OF LAFAYETTE
IN TO 15 MI NORTH NE OF LATROBE PA.

REMEMBER A SVR STRM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SVR STRMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WX CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STMENTS AND PSBL
WARNINGS. SVR STRMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRDCE
TRNDOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION CNTINU WW 215 

DISCUSSION INCREASING CONVECTIVE DVLPMENT IS ONGOING IN
RESPONSE TO HEATING OF MOIST BNDRY LAYER AND WEAKENING CONVECTIVE
INHIBITION.  FURTHER HEATING/INTENSIFICATION IS LIKELY THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THEP HOURS ACCOMPANIED BY INCREASING RISK OF
LRG HAIL.  30 TO 40 KT LWR/MID TROPOSPHERIC FLOW ON S
FRINGE OF STRNGER WESTERLIES WILL ENHANCE STRM PROPAGATION AND
RISK OF DMGG SURFACE WIND GUSTS.  AGEOSTROPHIC FORCING IN
ENTRANCE REGION OF UPPER JET MAY SUPPORT EVOLUTION OF LRGR
CONVECTIVE CLUSTER FROM NORTH C IN INTO C OH BY
LATE PM POSSIBLY EWARD INTO W PA AND
N WEST VA BY EARLY EVE.

AVIATION A FEW SVR STRMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STRM
MOTION VECTOR 28035.


 KERR

;411,0872 413,0791 391,0791 385,0872; 

WWWW