[HWOLOT] HWOLOT

Hazardous Weather Outlooks - NWS LOT HWOLOT at goshenarc.org
Tue Nov 15 11:48:37 UTC 2005


FLUS43 KLOT 151130
HWOLOT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
600 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

ILZ003>006-008-010>014-019>022-023-032-033-039-INZ001-002-010-011-
019-161200-
WINNEBAGO-BOONE-MCHENRY-LAKE IL-OGLE-LEE-DE KALB-KANE-DU PAGE-COOK-
LA SALLE-KENDALL-GRUNDY-WILL-KANKAKEE-LIVINGSTON-IROQUOIS-FORD-
LAKE IN-PORTER-NEWTON-JASPER-BENTON-
600 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

THIS PORTION OF THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL 
AND NORTHEAST ILLINOIS...AND NORTHWEST INDIANA. 

.DAY ONE... TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN AREA OF STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO NORTHEAST ILLINOIS 
EARLY THIS EVENING. WARM MOIST AIR WILL SURGE NORTHWARD INTO THE 
AREA IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS LOW PRESSURE AREA. SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS WILL OVERSPREAD THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. THERE IS A 
MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS 
EVENING SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM DE MOTTE INDIANA TO KANKAKEE TO 
PONTIAC. THE MAIN THREATS WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THIS AREA 
WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...HOWEVER AN ISOLATED TORNADO 
CANNOT BE RULED OUT SOUTHEAST OF A DE MOTTE...TO KANKAKEE...TO 
PONTIAC LINE. 

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REMAINDER 
OF THE FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON INCLUDING MOST OF NORTHEAST AND NORTH 
CENTRAL ILLINOIS...WITH THE EXCEPTION BEING AREAS WEST OF INTERSTATE 
39 IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS WHERE SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. 
THE MAIN THREATS WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND 
DAMAGING WINDS. THE PROBABILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE LOWER 
CLOSER TO THE WISCONSIN/ILLINOIS STATELINE.

IN ADDITION...STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH 
GUSTS TO 40 MPH...WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT AS 
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTS NORTHWARD.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

WEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL PERSIST INTO 
WEDNESDAY...BEFORE SUBSIDING TOWARD WEDNESDAY EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

COMPLETE FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE
NWS CHICAGO WEBPAGE: WEATHER.GOV/CHICAGO (LOWER CASE)

$$

LMZ740>745-766-161200-
WINTHROP HARBOR IL TO MICHIGAN CITY IN-
LAKE MICHIGAN-
600 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

THIS PORTION OF THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE ILLINOIS 
AND INDIANA WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN. 

.DAY ONE... TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING FOR 
THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WINTHROP HARBOR 
TO GARY. NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS WILL BECOME EAST THIS 
MORNING...THEN SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON WITH WAVES OF 5 TO 8 FEET.

A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT FOR THE NEARSHORE AND OPEN 
WATERS OF SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN. SOUTHWEST GALES TO 45 KNOTS ARE 
EXPECTED FOR THE NEARSHORE AND OPEN WATERS TONIGHT WITH WAVES 
BUILDING TO 10 TO 14 FEET.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN 
BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY PRODUCE HAIL AND 
GUSTY WINDS IN EXCESS OF 35 KNOTS. THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO 
EXIT SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN EARLY THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A GALE WARNING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE NEARSHORE AND OPEN 
WATERS THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR WEST GALES TO 45 KNOTS. 

&&

COMPLETE FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE
NWS CHICAGO WEBPAGE: WEATHER.GOV/CHICAGO (LOWER CASE)

$$










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