[HWOLOT] HWOLOT

[HWOLOT at goshenarc.org]

FLUS43 KLOT 230932 AAA
HWOLOT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
430 AM CDT SUN MAY 23 2004

ILZ003>006-008-010>014-019>023-032-033-039-INZ001-002-010-011-
019-241100-
BENTON-BOONE-COOK-DE KALB-DU PAGE-FORD-GRUNDY-IROQUOIS-JASPER-
KANE-KANKAKEE-KENDALL-LA SALLE-LAKE-LAKE IN-LEE-LIVINGSTON-
MCHENRY-NEWTON-OGLE-PORTER-WILL-WINNEBAGO-
430 AM CDT SUN MAY 23 2004

THIS PORTION OF THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST ILLINOIS...AND NORTHWEST INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING 
COUNTIES IN ILLINOIS...
BOONE...COOK...DE KALB...DUPAGE...KANE...LAKE...LEE...MCHENRY...OGLE
AND WINNEBAGO.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY OVER THE 
ENTIRE AREA. 

A LARGE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX OVER IOWA AND NORTHERN MISSOURI WILL 
SPREAD ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL ILLINOIS...AND PERHAPS INTO 
NORTHWEST INDIANA DURING THE MORNING HOURS.  ALTHOUGH SOME BRIEF 
GUSTY WINDS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS 
SYSTEM...THE MAIN PROBLEM WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY FOR ADDITIONAL 
HEAVY RAINFALL.  

OF GREATER CONCERN IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS 
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHWEST ILLINOIS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.  
FORECAST WIND PROFILES ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS 
NORTHERN ILLINOIS...AND A DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKING TO 
THE WEST OF THE AREA...ALL SUGGEST THE POSSIBILITY THAT SOME STORMS 
MAY BECOME SUPERCELLS.  THEREFORE...IN ADDITION TO A HAIL AND 
DAMAGING WIND THREAT...THERE IS ALSO THE POSSIBILITY OF A FEW 
TORNADOES.  

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY TROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE MONDAY OR MONDAY 
NIGHT AS ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE MID MISSISSIPPI 
VALLEY.   

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN ABOUT FRIDAY.      

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. 

&&

COMPLETE FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE
NWS CHICAGO WEBPAGE: WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/LOT (LOWER CASE)

$$
LMZ740>746-766-241100-
WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR-WILMETTE HARBOR TO NORTHERLY
ISLAND-NORTHERLY ISLAND TO CALUMET HARBOR-CALUMET HARBOR TO GARY-
GARY TO BURNS HARBOR-BURNS HARBOR TO MICHIGAN CITY-MICHIGAN CITY
TO NEW BUFFALO-LAKE MICHIGAN-
430 AM CDT SUN MAY 23 2004

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY OVER SOUTHERN 
LAKE MICHIGAN. 

A LARGE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX OVER IOWA AND NORTHERN MISSOURI WILL 
SPREAD ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL ILLINOIS...AND PERHAPS INTO 
NORTHWEST INDIANA DURING THE MORNING HOURS.  SOME BRIEF 
GUSTY WINDS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE. 

OF GREATER CONCERN IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS 
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHWEST ILLINOIS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.  
THESE WILL THEN SPREAD EASTWARD TO SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN ABOUT MID 
AFTERNOON.  

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY TROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE MONDAY OR MONDAY 
NIGHT AS ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE MID MISSISSIPPI 
VALLEY.   

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN ABOUT FRIDAY.      


THIS PORTION OF THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE ILLINOIS
AND INDIANA WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT. SHOWERS 
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP LATER TONIGHT. SOME OF 
THE THUNDERSTORM MAY MAY PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...HAIL 
AND DAMAGING WIND.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY AS A COLD 
FRONT MOVES THROUGH LATE IN THE DAY.   

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY 
MORNING.     

&&

COMPLETE FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE
NWS CHICAGO WEBPAGE: WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/LOT (LOWER CASE)

$$


PM