From hwoiwx at goshenarc.org Tue Feb 20 00:35:34 2007 From: hwoiwx at goshenarc.org (Hazardous Weather Outlooks from NWS IWX) Date: Mon, 19 Feb 2007 19:35:34 -0500 Subject: [HWOIWX] Notice/update regarding email weather bulletins Message-ID: <20070220003559.40E423A004E@mail.goshen.edu> As many of you have noticed there have not been a lot of weather bulletins coming to you by email in the last month or so. The cold weather has exposed the slow failure of the LNB (low-noise block down-converter) on my Ku-band EMWIN satellite downlink. When LNBs get old, their center-frequencies become very temperature dependent. In other words, the colder outside it gets, the futher off-frequency it drifts, until the signal drops to below the noise threshhold. At that point the ingest engines locks up and no more message get parsed. So as long as the temperature stays above the mid-twenties, the data will keep flowing. A new LNB has been ordered, and hopefully the four-foot snow drift around the dish will melt about the same time the new LNB shows up. That's the update...it appears to be running smoothly right now with the temperatures mild, so we'll see what happens in the next week. If you are on more that one list, you have received one message for each list that you are on. Apologies for any duplicates. ---------------------------------------------------------- Calvin F. Swartzendruber calvinfs at goshen.edu From hwoiwx at goshenarc.org Tue Feb 20 10:48:41 2007 From: hwoiwx at goshenarc.org (Hazardous Weather Outlooks from NWS IWX) Date: Tue, 20 Feb 2007 05:48:41 -0500 Subject: [HWOIWX] HWOIWX Message-ID: FLUS43 KIWX 201053 HWOIWX HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 553 AM EST TUE FEB 20 2007 INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005- 015-016-024-025-211100- LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE- PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN- MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN- CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE- HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND... MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA... KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON... WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW... WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE... MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH... NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR... BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES... BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS... STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON... ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA... PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA 553 AM EST TUE FEB 20 2007 /453 AM CST TUE FEB 20 2007/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO... SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN INDIANA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT AREAS OF FOG ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO A HALF MILE OR LESS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY AREAS OF FOG ARE FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY MORNING. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO A HALF MILE OR LESS. A STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS SUNDAY AND THEN ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE OF FREEZING AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM SATURDAY MORNING. IT IS TOO EARLY AT THIS POINT TO DETERMINE THE AMOUNT OF ICE ACCUMULATION. WARM...MOIST AIR WILL PUSH INTO THE FORECAST REGION SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF RAIN...PERHAPS HEAVY AT TIMES...THROUGH THIS PERIOD. THE RAIN...COMBINED WITH SNOW MELT AND FROZEN RIVERS...CREEKS AND STREAMS...WILL POSE A SIGNIFICANT FLOOD THREAT TO THE REGION THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. PLEASE SEE THE NORTHERN INDIANA HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK LOCATED ON OUR WEB PAGE FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE URGED TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS FOR THE UPCOMING RAIN EVENT THIS WEEKEND AND BE PREPARED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND POSSIBLE ICE JAMS. && STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX $$ LMZ043-046-061-211100- NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- MICHIGAN CITY IN TO ST JOSEPH MI OUT TO MID LAKE- 553 AM EST TUE FEB 20 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT AREAS OF FOG ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO A HALF MILE OR LESS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY AREAS OF FOG ARE FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY MORNING. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO A HALF MILE OR LESS. A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO PASS ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND THEY WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY. THESE WINDS...ALONG WITH WAVES IN EXCESS OF 4 FEET...WILL POSE A HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFTS IN ICE FREE AREAS. WINDS AND WAVES ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO AFFECT THE REGION THIS WEEKEND. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 20 MPH AND WAVES IN EXCESS OF 4 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THESE WINDS AND WAVES WILL POSE A HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFTS IN ICE FREE AREAS. && STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX/PROGRAM_AREAS/MARINE/INDEX.PHP $$  From hwoiwx at goshenarc.org Tue Feb 20 00:35:34 2007 From: hwoiwx at goshenarc.org (Hazardous Weather Outlooks from NWS IWX) Date: Mon, 19 Feb 2007 19:35:34 -0500 Subject: [HWOIWX] Notice/update regarding email weather bulletins Message-ID: <20070220003559.40E423A004E@mail.goshen.edu> As many of you have noticed there have not been a lot of weather bulletins coming to you by email in the last month or so. The cold weather has exposed the slow failure of the LNB (low-noise block down-converter) on my Ku-band EMWIN satellite downlink. When LNBs get old, their center-frequencies become very temperature dependent. In other words, the colder outside it gets, the futher off-frequency it drifts, until the signal drops to below the noise threshhold. At that point the ingest engines locks up and no more message get parsed. So as long as the temperature stays above the mid-twenties, the data will keep flowing. A new LNB has been ordered, and hopefully the four-foot snow drift around the dish will melt about the same time the new LNB shows up. That's the update...it appears to be running smoothly right now with the temperatures mild, so we'll see what happens in the next week. If you are on more that one list, you have received one message for each list that you are on. Apologies for any duplicates. ---------------------------------------------------------- Calvin F. Swartzendruber calvinfs at goshen.edu From hwoiwx at goshenarc.org Tue Feb 20 10:48:41 2007 From: hwoiwx at goshenarc.org (Hazardous Weather Outlooks from NWS IWX) Date: Tue, 20 Feb 2007 05:48:41 -0500 Subject: [HWOIWX] HWOIWX Message-ID: FLUS43 KIWX 201053 HWOIWX HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 553 AM EST TUE FEB 20 2007 INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005- 015-016-024-025-211100- LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE- PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN- MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN- CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE- HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND... MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA... KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON... WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW... WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE... MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH... NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR... BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES... BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS... STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON... ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA... PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA 553 AM EST TUE FEB 20 2007 /453 AM CST TUE FEB 20 2007/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO... SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN INDIANA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT AREAS OF FOG ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO A HALF MILE OR LESS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY AREAS OF FOG ARE FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY MORNING. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO A HALF MILE OR LESS. A STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS SUNDAY AND THEN ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE OF FREEZING AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM SATURDAY MORNING. IT IS TOO EARLY AT THIS POINT TO DETERMINE THE AMOUNT OF ICE ACCUMULATION. WARM...MOIST AIR WILL PUSH INTO THE FORECAST REGION SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF RAIN...PERHAPS HEAVY AT TIMES...THROUGH THIS PERIOD. THE RAIN...COMBINED WITH SNOW MELT AND FROZEN RIVERS...CREEKS AND STREAMS...WILL POSE A SIGNIFICANT FLOOD THREAT TO THE REGION THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. PLEASE SEE THE NORTHERN INDIANA HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK LOCATED ON OUR WEB PAGE FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE URGED TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS FOR THE UPCOMING RAIN EVENT THIS WEEKEND AND BE PREPARED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND POSSIBLE ICE JAMS. && STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX $$ LMZ043-046-061-211100- NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- MICHIGAN CITY IN TO ST JOSEPH MI OUT TO MID LAKE- 553 AM EST TUE FEB 20 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT AREAS OF FOG ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO A HALF MILE OR LESS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY AREAS OF FOG ARE FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY MORNING. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO A HALF MILE OR LESS. A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO PASS ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND THEY WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY. THESE WINDS...ALONG WITH WAVES IN EXCESS OF 4 FEET...WILL POSE A HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFTS IN ICE FREE AREAS. WINDS AND WAVES ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO AFFECT THE REGION THIS WEEKEND. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 20 MPH AND WAVES IN EXCESS OF 4 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THESE WINDS AND WAVES WILL POSE A HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFTS IN ICE FREE AREAS. && STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX/PROGRAM_AREAS/MARINE/INDEX.PHP $$